Out-migration rate of Karumba small area forecast

Out-migration Rate explained

Out-migration rate shows how common moves out of an area are at each age. This page gives out-migration rates by age and sex. Each rate is the number of people who leave per person at that age in a given year.

Place Forecast works out these rates from migration estimates and population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides the number who moved out at a given age by the people at risk for that age and sex.

The total row divides total people who moved out by the total at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. In projected years, out-migration rates are applied first. Migration balancing then adjusts the figures so that births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration all align with the total.

Change
Periods

The growth-rate option isn't here: a percentage growth rate isn't meaningful for a ratio like out-migrants per person, so change is shown as the plain difference.

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Year
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Out-migration rate of Karumba from 2021 to 2054
Small area; out-migrants per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
Age Group 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054
0-4 1.2088 0.7790 0.8540 0.9246 0.9850 0.8710 0.7963 0.7855 0.7788 0.7876 0.7764 0.7791 0.7771 0.7792 0.7773 0.7787 0.7776 0.7780 0.7777 0.7774 0.7776 0.7774 0.7775 0.7776 0.7774 0.7775 0.7775 0.7775 0.7774 0.7775 0.7774 0.7775 0.7774 0.7774
5-9 1.0583 0.3905 0.3260 0.4249 1.3329 0.8113 0.8326 0.9874 0.9048 0.9432 0.9267 0.9280 0.9328 0.9323 0.9264 0.9347 0.9258 0.9279 0.9294 0.9278 0.9298 0.9290 0.9294 0.9297 0.9286 0.9296 0.9295 0.9292 0.9292 0.9295 0.9292 0.9294 0.9293 0.9293
10-14 0.6570 0.3327 0.2896 0.2897 0.8477 0.6048 0.6413 0.5264 0.5271 0.5247 0.5272 0.5210 0.5207 0.5211 0.5207 0.5212 0.5206 0.5205 0.5204 0.5208 0.5205 0.5207 0.5208 0.5207 0.5206 0.5206 0.5207 0.5207 0.5206 0.5207 0.5206 0.5207 0.5206 0.5207
15-19 0.8953 0.3486 0.3462 0.2705 0.4826 0.4776 0.4453 0.2238 0.5032 0.5545 0.4457 0.4527 0.4547 0.4183 0.4540 0.4391 0.4332 0.4429 0.4359 0.4385 0.4384 0.4370 0.4385 0.4383 0.4372 0.4382 0.4376 0.4383 0.4374 0.4383 0.4375 0.4382 0.4376 0.4379
20-24 2.4648 0.7244 0.5473 0.3760 0.7079 1.0344 1.0252 0.8683 0.8730 0.8683 0.9133 0.9108 0.9076 0.9083 0.9074 0.9076 0.9050 0.9043 0.9041 0.9031 0.9037 0.9030 0.9032 0.9035 0.9028 0.9030 0.9031 0.9031 0.9029 0.9031 0.9029 0.9030 0.9030 0.9029
25-29 1.1819 0.6858 0.3753 0.4507 1.1508 1.0729 0.9341 0.9741 0.9786 0.9791 0.9647 0.9721 0.9714 0.9734 0.9708 0.9716 0.9701 0.9737 0.9732 0.9725 0.9738 0.9728 0.9734 0.9733 0.9728 0.9736 0.9732 0.9732 0.9732 0.9734 0.9731 0.9734 0.9732 0.9732
30-34 0.8469 0.3617 0.2727 0.2449 0.4551 0.4988 0.5417 0.5577 0.5587 0.5591 0.5580 0.5573 0.5572 0.5572 0.5564 0.5571 0.5567 0.5565 0.5566 0.5564 0.5565 0.5564 0.5564 0.5565 0.5564 0.5564 0.5565 0.5564 0.5564 0.5565 0.5564 0.5564 0.5564 0.5564
35-39 0.5851 0.2248 0.1884 0.1448 0.1923 0.3483 0.3446 0.3154 0.3084 0.3031 0.3017 0.3005 0.3020 0.3026 0.3014 0.3024 0.3015 0.3014 0.3015 0.3011 0.3012 0.3011 0.3011 0.3012 0.3010 0.3011 0.3011 0.3011 0.3010 0.3011 0.3010 0.3010 0.3010 0.3010
40-44 0.1772 0.2342 0.1855 0.2109 0.3964 0.4476 0.3569 0.3943 0.4436 0.4506 0.4521 0.4502 0.4586 0.4566 0.4532 0.4551 0.4538 0.4542 0.4542 0.4539 0.4544 0.4540 0.4542 0.4542 0.4540 0.4542 0.4541 0.4542 0.4541 0.4542 0.4541 0.4542 0.4541 0.4541
45-49 0.4806 0.2795 0.2157 0.2149 0.4063 0.4059 0.3993 0.4112 0.4098 0.4238 0.4201 0.4154 0.4100 0.4129 0.4151 0.4143 0.4133 0.4138 0.4135 0.4134 0.4133 0.4133 0.4133 0.4133 0.4132 0.4132 0.4133 0.4133 0.4132 0.4133 0.4132 0.4132 0.4132 0.4132
50-54 0.1215 0.2296 0.1752 0.1807 0.3304 0.3697 0.3771 0.3505 0.3512 0.3587 0.3612 0.3598 0.3583 0.3590 0.3587 0.3586 0.3588 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3587 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3587 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586 0.3586
55-59 0.1105 0.0653 0.0420 0.0478 0.0471 0.0735 0.0748 0.0698 0.0652 0.0612 0.0677 0.0642 0.0602 0.0626 0.0626 0.0629 0.0627 0.0624 0.0630 0.0628 0.0629 0.0630 0.0630 0.0631 0.0630 0.0631 0.0631 0.0631 0.0631 0.0631 0.0631 0.0631 0.0631 0.0631
60-64 0.0509 0.1012 0.0943 0.0732 0.1479 0.1330 0.1398 0.1292 0.1613 0.1566 0.1503 0.1630 0.1599 0.1657 0.1663 0.1695 0.1718 0.1724 0.1719 0.1712 0.1712 0.1710 0.1708 0.1707 0.1706 0.1706 0.1705 0.1705 0.1705 0.1705 0.1705 0.1705 0.1704 0.1704
65-69 0.0878 0.1222 0.0786 0.0732 0.1515 0.1828 0.1618 0.1550 0.1720 0.1485 0.1850 0.1502 0.1922 0.1461 0.1847 0.1616 0.1691 0.1700 0.1666 0.1693 0.1676 0.1673 0.1671 0.1675 0.1672 0.1675 0.1672 0.1674 0.1674 0.1674 0.1674 0.1674 0.1674 0.1674
70-74 0.0435 0.0438 0.0732 0.0499 0.0644 0.0710 0.0520 0.0692 0.0611 0.0723 0.0849 0.0630 0.0713 0.0722 0.0788 0.0785 0.0753 0.0740 0.0773 0.0750 0.0743 0.0761 0.0754 0.0762 0.0759 0.0760 0.0764 0.0765 0.0764 0.0763 0.0763 0.0763 0.0762 0.0762
75-79 0.0916 0.1466 0.1532 0.0444 0.0605 0.0595 0.0882 0.0726 0.0736 0.0623 0.0593 0.0634 0.0599 0.0711 0.0696 0.0769 0.0838 0.0776 0.0806 0.0819 0.0955 0.0909 0.0960 0.0907 0.0900 0.0902 0.0868 0.0874 0.0868 0.0865 0.0861 0.0856 0.0855 0.0856
80-84 0.1786 0.0000 0.2033 0.2545 0.4618 0.4434 0.2747 0.2053 0.5540 0.2574 0.2301 0.3743 0.3399 0.1916 0.4370 0.3044 0.3577 0.3844 0.2738 0.3784 0.2554 0.3317 0.3928 0.2435 0.3251 0.3282 0.3250 0.2841 0.3451 0.2926 0.3245 0.3127 0.3074 0.3149
85+ 0.3096 0.0550 0.0400 0.2607 0.1686 0.1430 0.1241 0.1097 0.1007 0.0949 0.0913 0.0904 0.0888 0.0878 0.0876 0.0876 0.0874 0.0885 0.0886 0.0885 0.0891 0.0886 0.0889 0.0885 0.0887 0.0902 0.0895 0.0897 0.0898 0.0903 0.0910 0.0921 0.0933 0.0951
Total 0.4224 0.2475 0.2271 0.2046 0.3585 0.3949 0.3969 0.3958 0.4269 0.4386 0.4415 0.4465 0.4537 0.4515 0.4610 0.4615 0.4623 0.4649 0.4639 0.4651 0.4650 0.4653 0.4665 0.4654 0.4657 0.4660 0.4660 0.4656 0.4660 0.4657 0.4658 0.4657 0.4656 0.4656
See also