DEMO Main Demo Scenario

Out-migration rate of Strathfield (South) small area forecast

Out-migration Rate explained

Out-migration rate shows how common moves out of an area are at each age. This page gives out-migration rates by age and sex. Each rate is the number of people who leave per person at that age in a given year.

Place Forecast works out these rates from migration estimates and population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides the number who moved out at a given age by the people at risk for that age and sex.

The total row divides total people who moved out by the total at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. In projected years, out-migration rates are applied first. Migration balancing then adjusts the figures so that births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration all align with the total.

Change
Periods

The growth-rate option isn't here: a percentage growth rate isn't meaningful for a ratio like out-migrants per person, so change is shown as the plain difference.

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Out-migration rate of Strathfield (South) from 2021 to 2055
Small area; out-migrants per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
Age Group 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054 2055
0-4 0.5445 0.2299 0.2443 0.2241 0.2503 0.4539 0.4519 0.4314 0.4489 0.4493 0.4491 0.4487 0.4486 0.4485 0.4486 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487 0.4487
5-9 0.3225 0.1947 0.2073 0.1691 0.1529 0.4227 0.3966 0.3949 0.3887 0.3849 0.3835 0.3852 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878 0.3878
10-14 0.1829 0.0703 0.1306 0.1271 0.0812 0.2032 0.1756 0.1852 0.1933 0.1998 0.1990 0.2025 0.2043 0.2045 0.2042 0.2036 0.2033 0.2034 0.2034 0.2034 0.2033 0.2033 0.2033 0.2033 0.2033 0.2033 0.2033 0.2034 0.2034 0.2034 0.2034 0.2033 0.2033 0.2033 0.2033
15-19 0.4401 0.1922 0.1679 0.1881 0.1733 0.4179 0.3789 0.3601 0.3717 0.3809 0.3811 0.3776 0.3787 0.3830 0.3821 0.3810 0.3812 0.3806 0.3808 0.3810 0.3811 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810 0.3810
20-24 0.4053 0.2085 0.1657 0.1719 0.1696 0.4394 0.4301 0.4242 0.4246 0.4254 0.4258 0.4258 0.4257 0.4257 0.4259 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258 0.4258
25-29 0.4151 0.2105 0.1673 0.1669 0.1653 0.4262 0.4207 0.4217 0.4222 0.4222 0.4231 0.4228 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227 0.4227
30-34 0.4147 0.2050 0.1616 0.1606 0.1581 0.4084 0.4074 0.4072 0.4061 0.4056 0.4057 0.4057 0.4058 0.4056 0.4054 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053 0.4053
35-39 0.2470 0.1536 0.1266 0.1249 0.1230 0.3112 0.3158 0.3113 0.3127 0.3131 0.3136 0.3134 0.3133 0.3131 0.3131 0.3132 0.3132 0.3133 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132 0.3132
40-44 0.3549 0.1469 0.1279 0.1380 0.1272 0.3125 0.2914 0.3014 0.2960 0.2988 0.3035 0.3021 0.2984 0.2966 0.2969 0.2976 0.2976 0.2976 0.2976 0.2977 0.2977 0.2976 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977 0.2977
45-49 0.2514 0.1360 0.1398 0.1143 0.1102 0.2255 0.2114 0.2194 0.2303 0.2271 0.2262 0.2233 0.2261 0.2233 0.2246 0.2258 0.2273 0.2272 0.2267 0.2265 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2265 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266 0.2266
50-54 0.3641 0.1910 0.1454 0.1511 0.1394 0.3478 0.3575 0.3583 0.3633 0.3636 0.3623 0.3596 0.3618 0.3628 0.3630 0.3628 0.3632 0.3624 0.3626 0.3624 0.3626 0.3627 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626 0.3626
55-59 0.1344 0.1003 0.1008 0.1121 0.0877 0.1639 0.1503 0.1519 0.1579 0.1597 0.1612 0.1573 0.1565 0.1541 0.1530 0.1521 0.1516 0.1517 0.1519 0.1517 0.1518 0.1520 0.1521 0.1522 0.1523 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524 0.1524
60-64 0.1890 0.1120 0.0904 0.0785 0.0870 0.1778 0.1706 0.1662 0.1784 0.1886 0.1927 0.1850 0.1749 0.1687 0.1694 0.1739 0.1764 0.1774 0.1772 0.1767 0.1765 0.1767 0.1769 0.1768 0.1766 0.1765 0.1765 0.1765 0.1765 0.1766 0.1766 0.1766 0.1766 0.1766 0.1766
65-69 0.1259 0.0815 0.0612 0.0999 0.0382 0.0843 0.0813 0.0882 0.0875 0.0841 0.0749 0.0791 0.0809 0.0827 0.0820 0.0841 0.0840 0.0827 0.0813 0.0804 0.0813 0.0817 0.0820 0.0821 0.0821 0.0820 0.0819 0.0820 0.0820 0.0820 0.0819 0.0819 0.0819 0.0819 0.0819
70-74 0.0187 0.0453 0.0874 0.0582 0.0403 0.0641 0.0690 0.0685 0.0613 0.0641 0.0586 0.0475 0.0469 0.0460 0.0467 0.0449 0.0492 0.0475 0.0435 0.0412 0.0403 0.0394 0.0392 0.0394 0.0399 0.0405 0.0407 0.0407 0.0407 0.0406 0.0405 0.0405 0.0405 0.0405 0.0405
75-79 0.0780 0.0552 0.0637 0.0685 0.0311 0.0666 0.0680 0.0567 0.0599 0.0575 0.0561 0.0546 0.0570 0.0604 0.0590 0.0614 0.0695 0.0681 0.0673 0.0673 0.0701 0.0663 0.0667 0.0683 0.0697 0.0698 0.0704 0.0705 0.0706 0.0705 0.0699 0.0697 0.0696 0.0697 0.0697
80-84 -0.0077 0.0701 0.0548 0.1023 0.0325 0.0546 0.0468 0.0392 0.0291 0.0390 0.0385 0.0337 0.0379 0.0365 0.0435 0.0374 0.0344 0.0390 0.0377 0.0354 0.0358 0.0423 0.0413 0.0359 0.0354 0.0354 0.0366 0.0373 0.0392 0.0409 0.0417 0.0408 0.0396 0.0391 0.0391
85+ -0.0918 0.0388 0.0329 0.0459 0.0648 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Total 0.3217 0.1684 0.1436 0.1467 0.1404 0.3447 0.3380 0.3354 0.3365 0.3373 0.3377 0.3368 0.3366 0.3362 0.3359 0.3356 0.3357 0.3355 0.3352 0.3349 0.3348 0.3346 0.3343 0.3341 0.3339 0.3338 0.3337 0.3336 0.3336 0.3335 0.3334 0.3334 0.3333 0.3332 0.3332
See also