Out-migration rate of
South Launceston small area forecast
Out-migration Rate explained
Out-migration rate shows how common moves out of an area are at each age. This page gives out-migration rates by age and sex. Each rate is the number of people who leave per person at that age in a given year.
Place Forecast works out these rates from migration estimates and population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides the number who moved out at a given age by the people at risk for that age and sex.
The total row divides total people who moved out by the total at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. In projected years, out-migration rates are applied first. Migration balancing then adjusts the figures so that births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration all align with the total.
Out-migration rate of South Launceston from 2021 to 2055
Small area; out-migrants per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
| Age Group | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 | 2055 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 0.1879 | 0.1625 | 0.1694 | 0.1813 | 0.1949 | 0.1725 | 0.1670 | 0.1708 | 0.1743 | 0.1746 | 0.1747 | 0.1748 | 0.1748 | 0.1747 | 0.1746 | 0.1746 | 0.1746 | 0.1747 | 0.1747 | 0.1747 | 0.1747 | 0.1747 | 0.1748 | 0.1748 | 0.1748 | 0.1748 | 0.1748 | 0.1748 | 0.1749 | 0.1749 | 0.1749 | 0.1749 | 0.1749 | 0.1749 | 0.1749 |
| 5-9 | 0.1979 | 0.1535 | 0.1445 | 0.1447 | 0.1449 | 0.1834 | 0.1858 | 0.1854 | 0.1848 | 0.1856 | 0.1874 | 0.1857 | 0.1856 | 0.1855 | 0.1855 | 0.1855 | 0.1854 | 0.1855 | 0.1855 | 0.1855 | 0.1855 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 | 0.1854 |
| 10-14 | 0.0699 | 0.0897 | 0.0689 | 0.0874 | 0.0796 | 0.0886 | 0.0868 | 0.0975 | 0.0971 | 0.0897 | 0.0869 | 0.0918 | 0.0927 | 0.0906 | 0.0898 | 0.0895 | 0.0894 | 0.0905 | 0.0911 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 |
| 15-19 | 0.2863 | 0.2358 | 0.2195 | 0.2198 | 0.2098 | 0.2564 | 0.2612 | 0.2674 | 0.2692 | 0.2887 | 0.2825 | 0.2940 | 0.2862 | 0.2818 | 0.2755 | 0.2747 | 0.2793 | 0.2801 | 0.2813 | 0.2817 | 0.2802 | 0.2796 | 0.2789 | 0.2795 | 0.2803 | 0.2802 | 0.2802 | 0.2802 | 0.2801 | 0.2801 | 0.2800 | 0.2800 | 0.2800 | 0.2800 | 0.2799 |
| 20-24 | 0.3730 | 0.3063 | 0.2819 | 0.2909 | 0.2877 | 0.3628 | 0.3671 | 0.3641 | 0.3639 | 0.3641 | 0.3643 | 0.3642 | 0.3641 | 0.3641 | 0.3640 | 0.3640 | 0.3638 | 0.3637 | 0.3636 | 0.3637 | 0.3638 | 0.3638 | 0.3638 | 0.3638 | 0.3638 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 | 0.3637 |
| 25-29 | 0.4180 | 0.3245 | 0.3014 | 0.3122 | 0.3078 | 0.3848 | 0.3869 | 0.3859 | 0.3901 | 0.3917 | 0.3919 | 0.3915 | 0.3912 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 | 0.3911 |
| 30-34 | 0.2978 | 0.2408 | 0.2233 | 0.2286 | 0.2276 | 0.2898 | 0.2876 | 0.2858 | 0.2871 | 0.2894 | 0.2899 | 0.2895 | 0.2889 | 0.2888 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 | 0.2889 |
| 35-39 | 0.1559 | 0.1258 | 0.1051 | 0.1099 | 0.1100 | 0.1377 | 0.1328 | 0.1322 | 0.1324 | 0.1311 | 0.1321 | 0.1337 | 0.1324 | 0.1325 | 0.1317 | 0.1316 | 0.1321 | 0.1323 | 0.1324 | 0.1323 | 0.1323 | 0.1323 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1322 | 0.1321 |
| 40-44 | 0.0888 | 0.0760 | 0.0818 | 0.0746 | 0.0841 | 0.0924 | 0.0946 | 0.0930 | 0.0897 | 0.0922 | 0.0944 | 0.0905 | 0.0900 | 0.0920 | 0.0912 | 0.0914 | 0.0920 | 0.0915 | 0.0913 | 0.0912 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0914 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 | 0.0913 |
| 45-49 | 0.1474 | 0.1235 | 0.1130 | 0.1209 | 0.1292 | 0.1426 | 0.1465 | 0.1445 | 0.1430 | 0.1432 | 0.1422 | 0.1414 | 0.1427 | 0.1419 | 0.1433 | 0.1402 | 0.1432 | 0.1422 | 0.1431 | 0.1421 | 0.1431 | 0.1431 | 0.1429 | 0.1431 | 0.1431 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 | 0.1430 |
| 50-54 | 0.0735 | 0.0896 | 0.0850 | 0.0748 | 0.0772 | 0.1000 | 0.0957 | 0.0957 | 0.0981 | 0.0971 | 0.0942 | 0.0955 | 0.0969 | 0.0964 | 0.0951 | 0.0960 | 0.0953 | 0.0948 | 0.0956 | 0.0962 | 0.0950 | 0.0950 | 0.0958 | 0.0960 | 0.0957 | 0.0957 | 0.0960 | 0.0958 | 0.0958 | 0.0958 | 0.0958 | 0.0958 | 0.0958 | 0.0958 | 0.0957 |
| 55-59 | 0.0668 | 0.1030 | 0.0845 | 0.0663 | 0.0619 | 0.0718 | 0.0714 | 0.0705 | 0.0687 | 0.0698 | 0.0720 | 0.0745 | 0.0723 | 0.0721 | 0.0739 | 0.0754 | 0.0736 | 0.0727 | 0.0734 | 0.0745 | 0.0750 | 0.0752 | 0.0750 | 0.0743 | 0.0743 | 0.0751 | 0.0748 | 0.0742 | 0.0741 | 0.0743 | 0.0743 | 0.0743 | 0.0742 | 0.0742 | 0.0742 |
| 60-64 | 0.0244 | 0.0396 | 0.0644 | 0.0492 | 0.0362 | 0.0285 | 0.0395 | 0.0367 | 0.0337 | 0.0254 | 0.0302 | 0.0310 | 0.0293 | 0.0296 | 0.0307 | 0.0280 | 0.0319 | 0.0313 | 0.0302 | 0.0291 | 0.0325 | 0.0318 | 0.0308 | 0.0301 | 0.0317 | 0.0317 | 0.0311 | 0.0318 | 0.0323 | 0.0304 | 0.0318 | 0.0320 | 0.0316 | 0.0310 | 0.0315 |
| 65-69 | 0.0208 | 0.0420 | 0.0373 | 0.0546 | 0.0456 | 0.0371 | 0.0362 | 0.0286 | 0.0284 | 0.0316 | 0.0355 | 0.0360 | 0.0388 | 0.0388 | 0.0370 | 0.0362 | 0.0416 | 0.0399 | 0.0367 | 0.0379 | 0.0406 | 0.0402 | 0.0388 | 0.0385 | 0.0394 | 0.0395 | 0.0387 | 0.0382 | 0.0384 | 0.0388 | 0.0388 | 0.0385 | 0.0384 | 0.0383 | 0.0382 |
| 70-74 | 0.0610 | 0.0689 | 0.0535 | 0.0430 | 0.0676 | 0.0365 | 0.0370 | 0.0377 | 0.0363 | 0.0391 | 0.0381 | 0.0388 | 0.0365 | 0.0373 | 0.0378 | 0.0381 | 0.0392 | 0.0389 | 0.0407 | 0.0371 | 0.0375 | 0.0375 | 0.0378 | 0.0372 | 0.0371 | 0.0377 | 0.0379 | 0.0378 | 0.0374 | 0.0376 | 0.0375 | 0.0378 | 0.0375 | 0.0376 | 0.0375 |
| 75-79 | -0.0224 | 0.0321 | 0.0312 | 0.0369 | 0.0147 | 0.0057 | 0.0064 | 0.0082 | 0.0071 | 0.0065 | 0.0079 | 0.0075 | 0.0066 | 0.0075 | 0.0073 | 0.0080 | 0.0074 | 0.0068 | 0.0058 | 0.0074 | 0.0074 | 0.0067 | 0.0053 | 0.0061 | 0.0062 | 0.0057 | 0.0053 | 0.0057 | 0.0055 | 0.0057 | 0.0057 | 0.0056 | 0.0054 | 0.0059 | 0.0058 |
| 80-84 | -0.0044 | 0.0508 | 0.0542 | 0.0343 | 0.0531 | 0.0187 | 0.0283 | 0.0337 | 0.0322 | 0.0392 | 0.0373 | 0.0479 | 0.0478 | 0.0294 | 0.0358 | 0.0361 | 0.0390 | 0.0371 | 0.0338 | 0.0392 | 0.0341 | 0.0331 | 0.0355 | 0.0402 | 0.0389 | 0.0339 | 0.0374 | 0.0343 | 0.0397 | 0.0368 | 0.0433 | 0.0404 | 0.0388 | 0.0410 | 0.0428 |
| 85+ | -0.1058 | 0.0058 | 0.0177 | 0.0205 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| Total | 0.1664 | 0.1491 | 0.1397 | 0.1414 | 0.1385 | 0.1608 | 0.1625 | 0.1641 | 0.1658 | 0.1677 | 0.1690 | 0.1704 | 0.1705 | 0.1706 | 0.1709 | 0.1710 | 0.1719 | 0.1719 | 0.1720 | 0.1721 | 0.1723 | 0.1724 | 0.1724 | 0.1725 | 0.1726 | 0.1726 | 0.1726 | 0.1726 | 0.1727 | 0.1726 | 0.1728 | 0.1728 | 0.1727 | 0.1727 | 0.1727 |