Out-migration rate of
Rural East - Lilydale small area forecast
Out-migration Rate explained
Out-migration rate shows how common moves out of an area are at each age. This page gives out-migration rates by age and sex. Each rate is the number of people who leave per person at that age in a given year.
Place Forecast works out these rates from migration estimates and population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides the number who moved out at a given age by the people at risk for that age and sex.
The total row divides total people who moved out by the total at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. In projected years, out-migration rates are applied first. Migration balancing then adjusts the figures so that births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration all align with the total.
Out-migration rate of Rural East - Lilydale from 2021 to 2055
Small area; out-migrants per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
| Age Group | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 | 2055 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 0.0268 | 0.1121 | 0.1147 | 0.1129 | 0.1091 | 0.0866 | 0.0762 | 0.0791 | 0.0836 | 0.0909 | 0.0920 | 0.0922 | 0.0918 | 0.0919 | 0.0925 | 0.0923 | 0.0921 | 0.0922 | 0.0924 | 0.0924 | 0.0922 | 0.0922 | 0.0922 | 0.0922 | 0.0922 | 0.0921 | 0.0919 | 0.0918 | 0.0917 | 0.0916 | 0.0916 | 0.0916 | 0.0916 | 0.0917 | 0.0918 |
| 5-9 | 0.0745 | 0.1041 | 0.1042 | 0.1062 | 0.1111 | 0.0858 | 0.0808 | 0.0797 | 0.0802 | 0.0823 | 0.0871 | 0.0895 | 0.0899 | 0.0930 | 0.0918 | 0.0915 | 0.0913 | 0.0910 | 0.0908 | 0.0908 | 0.0909 | 0.0909 | 0.0909 | 0.0909 | 0.0909 | 0.0909 | 0.0910 | 0.0910 | 0.0909 | 0.0909 | 0.0908 | 0.0908 | 0.0908 | 0.0908 | 0.0909 |
| 10-14 | 0.0656 | 0.0746 | 0.0761 | 0.0869 | 0.0747 | 0.0552 | 0.0536 | 0.0482 | 0.0489 | 0.0474 | 0.0481 | 0.0517 | 0.0528 | 0.0531 | 0.0508 | 0.0501 | 0.0508 | 0.0532 | 0.0539 | 0.0550 | 0.0549 | 0.0548 | 0.0548 | 0.0549 | 0.0550 | 0.0550 | 0.0550 | 0.0550 | 0.0550 | 0.0550 | 0.0550 | 0.0549 | 0.0549 | 0.0548 | 0.0547 |
| 15-19 | 0.0250 | 0.0896 | 0.0807 | 0.0777 | 0.0849 | 0.0465 | 0.0388 | 0.0339 | 0.0346 | 0.0363 | 0.0440 | 0.0437 | 0.0409 | 0.0382 | 0.0388 | 0.0382 | 0.0359 | 0.0358 | 0.0350 | 0.0366 | 0.0372 | 0.0384 | 0.0378 | 0.0385 | 0.0385 | 0.0384 | 0.0383 | 0.0383 | 0.0383 | 0.0382 | 0.0383 | 0.0383 | 0.0383 | 0.0383 | 0.0383 |
| 20-24 | 0.2295 | 0.2427 | 0.2886 | 0.2653 | 0.2585 | 0.1683 | 0.1421 | 0.1474 | 0.1667 | 0.1826 | 0.1890 | 0.1879 | 0.1780 | 0.1746 | 0.1815 | 0.1843 | 0.1868 | 0.1938 | 0.1990 | 0.1950 | 0.1983 | 0.1974 | 0.1961 | 0.1962 | 0.1986 | 0.1950 | 0.1929 | 0.1913 | 0.1901 | 0.1892 | 0.1894 | 0.1895 | 0.1894 | 0.1894 | 0.1895 |
| 25-29 | 0.1249 | 0.2154 | 0.1914 | 0.2065 | 0.2227 | 0.1647 | 0.1601 | 0.1536 | 0.1515 | 0.1478 | 0.1394 | 0.1346 | 0.1326 | 0.1333 | 0.1368 | 0.1417 | 0.1429 | 0.1415 | 0.1405 | 0.1391 | 0.1378 | 0.1400 | 0.1426 | 0.1427 | 0.1433 | 0.1442 | 0.1442 | 0.1438 | 0.1433 | 0.1431 | 0.1429 | 0.1428 | 0.1429 | 0.1427 | 0.1427 |
| 30-34 | 0.1252 | 0.2031 | 0.1849 | 0.1829 | 0.1777 | 0.1540 | 0.1534 | 0.1516 | 0.1477 | 0.1463 | 0.1464 | 0.1500 | 0.1481 | 0.1458 | 0.1471 | 0.1457 | 0.1451 | 0.1447 | 0.1453 | 0.1446 | 0.1449 | 0.1450 | 0.1457 | 0.1451 | 0.1460 | 0.1454 | 0.1452 | 0.1450 | 0.1459 | 0.1455 | 0.1456 | 0.1458 | 0.1458 | 0.1458 | 0.1458 |
| 35-39 | 0.0788 | 0.0757 | 0.0691 | 0.0598 | 0.0562 | 0.0447 | 0.0446 | 0.0465 | 0.0477 | 0.0412 | 0.0428 | 0.0438 | 0.0421 | 0.0408 | 0.0403 | 0.0407 | 0.0412 | 0.0410 | 0.0398 | 0.0395 | 0.0383 | 0.0379 | 0.0376 | 0.0379 | 0.0381 | 0.0387 | 0.0387 | 0.0386 | 0.0382 | 0.0384 | 0.0381 | 0.0382 | 0.0384 | 0.0386 | 0.0386 |
| 40-44 | 0.0297 | 0.0810 | 0.0835 | 0.0959 | 0.0830 | 0.0627 | 0.0743 | 0.0606 | 0.0645 | 0.0580 | 0.0610 | 0.0567 | 0.0636 | 0.0559 | 0.0567 | 0.0593 | 0.0565 | 0.0573 | 0.0575 | 0.0565 | 0.0570 | 0.0568 | 0.0565 | 0.0564 | 0.0550 | 0.0546 | 0.0542 | 0.0541 | 0.0546 | 0.0551 | 0.0556 | 0.0552 | 0.0549 | 0.0547 | 0.0545 |
| 45-49 | 0.0571 | 0.0794 | 0.0672 | 0.0742 | 0.0652 | 0.0597 | 0.0579 | 0.0579 | 0.0571 | 0.0583 | 0.0596 | 0.0564 | 0.0600 | 0.0576 | 0.0586 | 0.0576 | 0.0593 | 0.0565 | 0.0576 | 0.0574 | 0.0573 | 0.0565 | 0.0569 | 0.0566 | 0.0576 | 0.0565 | 0.0566 | 0.0576 | 0.0563 | 0.0572 | 0.0567 | 0.0568 | 0.0562 | 0.0563 | 0.0561 |
| 50-54 | -0.0167 | 0.0406 | 0.0355 | 0.0450 | 0.0340 | 0.0264 | 0.0233 | 0.0280 | 0.0300 | 0.0314 | 0.0310 | 0.0285 | 0.0273 | 0.0280 | 0.0311 | 0.0288 | 0.0289 | 0.0292 | 0.0283 | 0.0263 | 0.0275 | 0.0287 | 0.0291 | 0.0284 | 0.0278 | 0.0277 | 0.0279 | 0.0270 | 0.0272 | 0.0278 | 0.0270 | 0.0277 | 0.0277 | 0.0278 | 0.0277 |
| 55-59 | 0.0119 | 0.0564 | 0.0400 | 0.0440 | 0.0513 | 0.0360 | 0.0351 | 0.0340 | 0.0323 | 0.0330 | 0.0354 | 0.0357 | 0.0349 | 0.0344 | 0.0318 | 0.0314 | 0.0327 | 0.0337 | 0.0339 | 0.0334 | 0.0328 | 0.0321 | 0.0331 | 0.0333 | 0.0327 | 0.0326 | 0.0328 | 0.0319 | 0.0313 | 0.0318 | 0.0321 | 0.0319 | 0.0321 | 0.0322 | 0.0321 |
| 60-64 | 0.0288 | 0.0497 | 0.0577 | 0.0458 | 0.0376 | 0.0334 | 0.0359 | 0.0368 | 0.0358 | 0.0340 | 0.0358 | 0.0368 | 0.0368 | 0.0330 | 0.0335 | 0.0350 | 0.0350 | 0.0354 | 0.0366 | 0.0363 | 0.0336 | 0.0342 | 0.0344 | 0.0351 | 0.0361 | 0.0351 | 0.0344 | 0.0340 | 0.0356 | 0.0340 | 0.0341 | 0.0347 | 0.0353 | 0.0337 | 0.0338 |
| 65-69 | 0.0081 | 0.0299 | 0.0280 | 0.0363 | 0.0307 | 0.0170 | 0.0189 | 0.0178 | 0.0184 | 0.0163 | 0.0176 | 0.0180 | 0.0186 | 0.0174 | 0.0160 | 0.0169 | 0.0181 | 0.0190 | 0.0172 | 0.0168 | 0.0170 | 0.0161 | 0.0175 | 0.0184 | 0.0191 | 0.0180 | 0.0177 | 0.0174 | 0.0173 | 0.0188 | 0.0181 | 0.0177 | 0.0178 | 0.0183 | 0.0172 |
| 70-74 | 0.0154 | 0.0438 | 0.0492 | 0.0636 | 0.0328 | 0.0179 | 0.0175 | 0.0173 | 0.0175 | 0.0172 | 0.0185 | 0.0192 | 0.0204 | 0.0186 | 0.0177 | 0.0172 | 0.0171 | 0.0194 | 0.0190 | 0.0210 | 0.0186 | 0.0197 | 0.0187 | 0.0190 | 0.0184 | 0.0189 | 0.0195 | 0.0192 | 0.0190 | 0.0183 | 0.0182 | 0.0185 | 0.0187 | 0.0187 | 0.0187 |
| 75-79 | -0.0164 | 0.0407 | 0.0273 | 0.0337 | 0.0365 | 0.0143 | 0.0133 | 0.0123 | 0.0124 | 0.0120 | 0.0120 | 0.0116 | 0.0110 | 0.0114 | 0.0121 | 0.0130 | 0.0135 | 0.0127 | 0.0119 | 0.0116 | 0.0114 | 0.0128 | 0.0129 | 0.0138 | 0.0130 | 0.0137 | 0.0134 | 0.0133 | 0.0130 | 0.0127 | 0.0128 | 0.0129 | 0.0130 | 0.0129 | 0.0129 |
| 80-84 | 0.0320 | 0.1027 | 0.0589 | 0.0442 | 0.0450 | 0.0274 | 0.0253 | 0.0322 | 0.0309 | 0.0289 | 0.0304 | 0.0317 | 0.0325 | 0.0316 | 0.0338 | 0.0354 | 0.0329 | 0.0329 | 0.0329 | 0.0318 | 0.0309 | 0.0297 | 0.0314 | 0.0345 | 0.0327 | 0.0325 | 0.0310 | 0.0311 | 0.0291 | 0.0301 | 0.0298 | 0.0322 | 0.0320 | 0.0311 | 0.0305 |
| 85+ | 0.1070 | 0.1063 | 0.0933 | 0.1040 | 0.0989 | 0.0778 | 0.0674 | 0.0564 | 0.0549 | 0.0474 | 0.0402 | 0.0385 | 0.0359 | 0.0335 | 0.0307 | 0.0287 | 0.0293 | 0.0277 | 0.0264 | 0.0280 | 0.0282 | 0.0279 | 0.0285 | 0.0268 | 0.0266 | 0.0247 | 0.0237 | 0.0233 | 0.0235 | 0.0225 | 0.0222 | 0.0209 | 0.0204 | 0.0190 | 0.0179 |
| Total | 0.0472 | 0.0867 | 0.0820 | 0.0836 | 0.0789 | 0.0580 | 0.0559 | 0.0546 | 0.0554 | 0.0558 | 0.0569 | 0.0561 | 0.0558 | 0.0551 | 0.0554 | 0.0558 | 0.0560 | 0.0564 | 0.0561 | 0.0555 | 0.0552 | 0.0553 | 0.0557 | 0.0560 | 0.0561 | 0.0554 | 0.0549 | 0.0545 | 0.0541 | 0.0539 | 0.0537 | 0.0537 | 0.0535 | 0.0532 | 0.0529 |