Out-migration rate of
Adelaide Hills (Townships Demo Scenario) local government area forecast
Out-migration Rate explained
Out-migration rate shows how common moves out of an area are at each age. This page gives out-migration rates by age and sex. Each rate is the number of people who leave per person at that age in a given year.
Place Forecast works out these rates from migration estimates and population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides the number who moved out at a given age by the people at risk for that age and sex.
The total row divides total people who moved out by the total at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. In projected years, out-migration rates are applied first. Migration balancing then adjusts the figures so that births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration all align with the total.
Out-migration rate of Adelaide Hills (Townships Demo Scenario) from 2021 to 2055
Local government area; out-migrants per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
| Age Group | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 | 2055 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 0.1451 | 0.1364 | 0.1102 | 0.1098 | 0.1101 | 0.1561 | 0.1581 | 0.1566 | 0.1594 | 0.1591 | 0.1592 | 0.1595 | 0.1600 | 0.1604 | 0.1608 | 0.1610 | 0.1612 | 0.1614 | 0.1615 | 0.1616 | 0.1617 | 0.1619 | 0.1621 | 0.1623 | 0.1624 | 0.1625 | 0.1626 | 0.1627 | 0.1629 | 0.1630 | 0.1631 | 0.1632 | 0.1634 | 0.1635 | 0.1636 |
| 5-9 | 0.0713 | 0.0656 | 0.0532 | 0.0520 | 0.0465 | 0.0875 | 0.0852 | 0.0868 | 0.0908 | 0.0878 | 0.0899 | 0.0890 | 0.0895 | 0.0904 | 0.0906 | 0.0904 | 0.0902 | 0.0902 | 0.0901 | 0.0900 | 0.0899 | 0.0898 | 0.0898 | 0.0897 | 0.0896 | 0.0896 | 0.0895 | 0.0894 | 0.0894 | 0.0893 | 0.0893 | 0.0892 | 0.0892 | 0.0892 | 0.0891 |
| 10-14 | 0.0419 | 0.0632 | 0.0508 | 0.0473 | 0.0396 | 0.0874 | 0.0817 | 0.0753 | 0.0790 | 0.0789 | 0.0798 | 0.0788 | 0.0807 | 0.0815 | 0.0820 | 0.0819 | 0.0825 | 0.0823 | 0.0823 | 0.0822 | 0.0824 | 0.0824 | 0.0824 | 0.0825 | 0.0826 | 0.0826 | 0.0827 | 0.0828 | 0.0828 | 0.0829 | 0.0830 | 0.0830 | 0.0831 | 0.0832 | 0.0832 |
| 15-19 | 0.0886 | 0.0928 | 0.0716 | 0.0717 | 0.0599 | 0.1166 | 0.1116 | 0.1109 | 0.1119 | 0.1127 | 0.1129 | 0.1111 | 0.1093 | 0.1095 | 0.1105 | 0.1109 | 0.1072 | 0.1069 | 0.1077 | 0.1092 | 0.1102 | 0.1089 | 0.1096 | 0.1090 | 0.1088 | 0.1089 | 0.1089 | 0.1089 | 0.1089 | 0.1089 | 0.1089 | 0.1088 | 0.1088 | 0.1088 | 0.1088 |
| 20-24 | 0.2449 | 0.1900 | 0.1422 | 0.1417 | 0.1290 | 0.2563 | 0.2430 | 0.2372 | 0.2435 | 0.2403 | 0.2423 | 0.2371 | 0.2388 | 0.2361 | 0.2345 | 0.2337 | 0.2358 | 0.2343 | 0.2318 | 0.2320 | 0.2338 | 0.2350 | 0.2338 | 0.2347 | 0.2348 | 0.2353 | 0.2343 | 0.2351 | 0.2351 | 0.2350 | 0.2351 | 0.2351 | 0.2351 | 0.2352 | 0.2352 |
| 25-29 | 0.3466 | 0.2634 | 0.1972 | 0.1986 | 0.1740 | 0.3580 | 0.3390 | 0.3262 | 0.3273 | 0.3303 | 0.3331 | 0.3302 | 0.3289 | 0.3267 | 0.3256 | 0.3273 | 0.3292 | 0.3292 | 0.3295 | 0.3281 | 0.3286 | 0.3286 | 0.3286 | 0.3285 | 0.3280 | 0.3284 | 0.3285 | 0.3287 | 0.3288 | 0.3292 | 0.3291 | 0.3291 | 0.3290 | 0.3289 | 0.3290 |
| 30-34 | 0.1631 | 0.1441 | 0.1100 | 0.1080 | 0.0999 | 0.2010 | 0.1936 | 0.1862 | 0.1859 | 0.1857 | 0.1860 | 0.1837 | 0.1845 | 0.1838 | 0.1842 | 0.1837 | 0.1843 | 0.1842 | 0.1844 | 0.1844 | 0.1840 | 0.1841 | 0.1837 | 0.1838 | 0.1839 | 0.1840 | 0.1835 | 0.1835 | 0.1836 | 0.1839 | 0.1838 | 0.1838 | 0.1838 | 0.1837 | 0.1837 |
| 35-39 | 0.1191 | 0.1064 | 0.0834 | 0.0838 | 0.0723 | 0.1435 | 0.1342 | 0.1282 | 0.1344 | 0.1361 | 0.1340 | 0.1358 | 0.1370 | 0.1356 | 0.1354 | 0.1351 | 0.1353 | 0.1356 | 0.1360 | 0.1360 | 0.1360 | 0.1359 | 0.1359 | 0.1360 | 0.1361 | 0.1361 | 0.1361 | 0.1360 | 0.1360 | 0.1360 | 0.1361 | 0.1361 | 0.1361 | 0.1361 | 0.1361 |
| 40-44 | 0.0733 | 0.0758 | 0.0549 | 0.0533 | 0.0492 | 0.0930 | 0.0926 | 0.0835 | 0.0884 | 0.0885 | 0.0896 | 0.0880 | 0.0866 | 0.0869 | 0.0873 | 0.0870 | 0.0878 | 0.0878 | 0.0883 | 0.0885 | 0.0882 | 0.0883 | 0.0882 | 0.0879 | 0.0880 | 0.0881 | 0.0882 | 0.0881 | 0.0881 | 0.0880 | 0.0881 | 0.0882 | 0.0882 | 0.0882 | 0.0882 |
| 45-49 | 0.0553 | 0.0665 | 0.0496 | 0.0495 | 0.0429 | 0.0835 | 0.0798 | 0.0795 | 0.0798 | 0.0766 | 0.0790 | 0.0768 | 0.0792 | 0.0798 | 0.0807 | 0.0793 | 0.0783 | 0.0806 | 0.0802 | 0.0806 | 0.0816 | 0.0813 | 0.0813 | 0.0813 | 0.0813 | 0.0814 | 0.0815 | 0.0817 | 0.0818 | 0.0819 | 0.0818 | 0.0819 | 0.0819 | 0.0820 | 0.0821 |
| 50-54 | 0.0513 | 0.0702 | 0.0507 | 0.0528 | 0.0479 | 0.0857 | 0.0831 | 0.0807 | 0.0811 | 0.0831 | 0.0833 | 0.0808 | 0.0808 | 0.0804 | 0.0829 | 0.0819 | 0.0840 | 0.0825 | 0.0824 | 0.0814 | 0.0823 | 0.0828 | 0.0831 | 0.0836 | 0.0829 | 0.0829 | 0.0824 | 0.0825 | 0.0824 | 0.0827 | 0.0827 | 0.0828 | 0.0829 | 0.0829 | 0.0828 |
| 55-59 | 0.0505 | 0.0660 | 0.0510 | 0.0522 | 0.0453 | 0.0779 | 0.0752 | 0.0715 | 0.0735 | 0.0731 | 0.0756 | 0.0768 | 0.0771 | 0.0762 | 0.0755 | 0.0753 | 0.0779 | 0.0772 | 0.0769 | 0.0775 | 0.0774 | 0.0769 | 0.0775 | 0.0774 | 0.0777 | 0.0775 | 0.0774 | 0.0782 | 0.0779 | 0.0782 | 0.0783 | 0.0782 | 0.0783 | 0.0782 | 0.0781 |
| 60-64 | 0.0498 | 0.0675 | 0.0511 | 0.0510 | 0.0460 | 0.0787 | 0.0749 | 0.0727 | 0.0767 | 0.0793 | 0.0771 | 0.0747 | 0.0737 | 0.0736 | 0.0750 | 0.0764 | 0.0756 | 0.0759 | 0.0763 | 0.0754 | 0.0743 | 0.0751 | 0.0753 | 0.0756 | 0.0758 | 0.0760 | 0.0764 | 0.0766 | 0.0767 | 0.0771 | 0.0771 | 0.0771 | 0.0769 | 0.0770 | 0.0770 |
| 65-69 | 0.0403 | 0.0467 | 0.0414 | 0.0411 | 0.0382 | 0.0435 | 0.0446 | 0.0442 | 0.0447 | 0.0445 | 0.0449 | 0.0442 | 0.0438 | 0.0433 | 0.0452 | 0.0463 | 0.0459 | 0.0460 | 0.0462 | 0.0462 | 0.0464 | 0.0463 | 0.0458 | 0.0461 | 0.0461 | 0.0466 | 0.0458 | 0.0458 | 0.0464 | 0.0462 | 0.0462 | 0.0464 | 0.0466 | 0.0464 | 0.0461 |
| 70-74 | 0.0272 | 0.0515 | 0.0398 | 0.0372 | 0.0343 | 0.0399 | 0.0383 | 0.0378 | 0.0382 | 0.0376 | 0.0384 | 0.0377 | 0.0378 | 0.0365 | 0.0379 | 0.0376 | 0.0379 | 0.0376 | 0.0375 | 0.0374 | 0.0365 | 0.0370 | 0.0376 | 0.0374 | 0.0372 | 0.0372 | 0.0375 | 0.0376 | 0.0377 | 0.0381 | 0.0381 | 0.0379 | 0.0380 | 0.0381 | 0.0382 |
| 75-79 | 0.0376 | 0.0510 | 0.0426 | 0.0426 | 0.0449 | 0.0404 | 0.0418 | 0.0421 | 0.0397 | 0.0400 | 0.0408 | 0.0415 | 0.0401 | 0.0381 | 0.0382 | 0.0386 | 0.0389 | 0.0378 | 0.0383 | 0.0376 | 0.0385 | 0.0382 | 0.0377 | 0.0383 | 0.0383 | 0.0388 | 0.0384 | 0.0379 | 0.0378 | 0.0379 | 0.0383 | 0.0381 | 0.0384 | 0.0380 | 0.0387 |
| 80-84 | 0.0204 | 0.0682 | 0.0584 | 0.0473 | 0.0431 | 0.0350 | 0.0322 | 0.0331 | 0.0324 | 0.0312 | 0.0298 | 0.0302 | 0.0289 | 0.0280 | 0.0283 | 0.0271 | 0.0298 | 0.0303 | 0.0295 | 0.0288 | 0.0286 | 0.0287 | 0.0287 | 0.0292 | 0.0287 | 0.0289 | 0.0288 | 0.0307 | 0.0299 | 0.0298 | 0.0307 | 0.0293 | 0.0295 | 0.0298 | 0.0297 |
| 85+ | 0.0189 | 0.0462 | 0.0401 | 0.0491 | 0.0642 | 0.0195 | 0.0183 | 0.0172 | 0.0161 | 0.0152 | 0.0150 | 0.0144 | 0.0140 | 0.0138 | 0.0131 | 0.0126 | 0.0121 | 0.0123 | 0.0122 | 0.0122 | 0.0117 | 0.0116 | 0.0113 | 0.0110 | 0.0111 | 0.0110 | 0.0109 | 0.0108 | 0.0107 | 0.0107 | 0.0104 | 0.0103 | 0.0101 | 0.0100 | 0.0100 |
| Total | 0.0874 | 0.0886 | 0.0683 | 0.0681 | 0.0623 | 0.1096 | 0.1054 | 0.1019 | 0.1035 | 0.1031 | 0.1032 | 0.1018 | 0.1016 | 0.1009 | 0.1011 | 0.1009 | 0.1011 | 0.1010 | 0.1009 | 0.1009 | 0.1011 | 0.1011 | 0.1011 | 0.1012 | 0.1012 | 0.1014 | 0.1013 | 0.1015 | 0.1015 | 0.1016 | 0.1017 | 0.1017 | 0.1018 | 0.1018 | 0.1018 |