DEMO Main Demo Scenario

Mortality rate of Ballarat (Main Demo Scenario) local government area forecast

Mortality Rate explained

Mortality rate shows how many deaths occur per person at each age. This page gives age-specific mortality rates by age and sex.

Place Forecast calculates these rates from registered deaths and population estimates published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides deaths at a given age by the corresponding population at risk for the same age and sex.

The total row divides total deaths by total population at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. Projected mortality rates drive future deaths in the cohort-component method. As the method moves each age group forward from the jump-off year, the rates set how many people die at every step. Lower rates mean fewer deaths and a population that lives longer on average.

Change
Periods

The growth-rate option isn't here: a percentage growth rate isn't meaningful for a ratio like deaths per person, so change is shown as the plain difference.

Sex
Age
Year
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Mortality rate of Ballarat (Main Demo Scenario) from 2021 to 2055
Local government area; deaths per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
Age Group 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054 2055
0-4 0.0022 0.0018 0.0015 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009
5-9 0.0000 0.0001 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
10-14 0.0000 0.0005 0.0004 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002
15-19 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010
20-24 0.0021 0.0013 0.0004 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001
25-29 0.0015 0.0010 0.0018 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003
30-34 0.0011 0.0022 0.0009 0.0009 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007
35-39 0.0023 0.0019 0.0013 0.0015 0.0015 0.0014 0.0014 0.0014 0.0014 0.0014 0.0014 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011
40-44 0.0024 0.0030 0.0028 0.0034 0.0033 0.0034 0.0034 0.0033 0.0033 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0033 0.0033 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034
45-49 0.0034 0.0038 0.0036 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0046 0.0046 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047 0.0047
50-54 0.0049 0.0055 0.0061 0.0039 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0037 0.0037 0.0036 0.0036 0.0036 0.0036 0.0036 0.0036 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0033 0.0033 0.0033
55-59 0.0056 0.0071 0.0053 0.0068 0.0069 0.0069 0.0069 0.0070 0.0070 0.0069 0.0069 0.0069 0.0069 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0067 0.0067 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0068 0.0067 0.0067 0.0067 0.0067 0.0067
60-64 0.0076 0.0083 0.0062 0.0082 0.0081 0.0082 0.0082 0.0081 0.0081 0.0081 0.0081 0.0080 0.0080 0.0080 0.0080 0.0079 0.0079 0.0079 0.0078 0.0078 0.0078 0.0078 0.0078 0.0078 0.0078 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077 0.0077
65-69 0.0100 0.0099 0.0121 0.0091 0.0089 0.0090 0.0089 0.0089 0.0088 0.0089 0.0089 0.0089 0.0088 0.0088 0.0087 0.0087 0.0087 0.0087 0.0087 0.0087 0.0086 0.0086 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0084 0.0084 0.0084 0.0084 0.0084 0.0084 0.0084
70-74 0.0197 0.0198 0.0172 0.0141 0.0143 0.0145 0.0147 0.0146 0.0146 0.0145 0.0145 0.0145 0.0145 0.0144 0.0145 0.0145 0.0144 0.0144 0.0144 0.0143 0.0143 0.0143 0.0143 0.0142 0.0142 0.0142 0.0142 0.0142 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0140 0.0140 0.0140
75-79 0.0254 0.0265 0.0256 0.0285 0.0287 0.0288 0.0293 0.0288 0.0288 0.0287 0.0288 0.0290 0.0290 0.0290 0.0288 0.0288 0.0287 0.0288 0.0287 0.0288 0.0290 0.0290 0.0290 0.0289 0.0289 0.0290 0.0290 0.0291 0.0291 0.0291 0.0291 0.0291 0.0291 0.0292 0.0292
80-84 0.0538 0.0565 0.0554 0.0418 0.0445 0.0465 0.0448 0.0457 0.0449 0.0447 0.0445 0.0446 0.0451 0.0452 0.0458 0.0460 0.0463 0.0462 0.0465 0.0463 0.0462 0.0465 0.0466 0.0466 0.0467 0.0467 0.0469 0.0469 0.0469 0.0468 0.0468 0.0469 0.0470 0.0471 0.0472
85+ 0.1059 0.1240 0.1313 0.1242 0.0890 0.0884 0.0886 0.0879 0.0876 0.0873 0.0871 0.0866 0.0860 0.0858 0.0856 0.0854 0.0852 0.0849 0.0847 0.0848 0.0847 0.0846 0.0844 0.0843 0.0841 0.0838 0.0836 0.0834 0.0832 0.0831 0.0828 0.0826 0.0824 0.0823 0.0821
Total 0.0087 0.0097 0.0096 0.0088 0.0079 0.0082 0.0083 0.0085 0.0085 0.0086 0.0087 0.0089 0.0089 0.0090 0.0091 0.0092 0.0092 0.0093 0.0093 0.0094 0.0094 0.0095 0.0095 0.0095 0.0095 0.0096 0.0096 0.0096 0.0096 0.0097 0.0097 0.0097 0.0097 0.0097 0.0097
See also