DEMO Main Scenario Demo

Out-migration rate of Duaringa small area forecast

Out-migration Rate explained

Out-migration rate shows how common moves out of an area are at each age. This page gives out-migration rates by age and sex. Each rate is the number of people who leave per person at that age in a given year.

Place Forecast works out these rates from migration estimates and population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides the number who moved out at a given age by the people at risk for that age and sex.

The total row divides total people who moved out by the total at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. In projected years, out-migration rates are applied first. Migration balancing then adjusts the figures so that births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration all align with the total.

Change
Periods

The growth-rate option isn't here: a percentage growth rate isn't meaningful for a ratio like out-migrants per person, so change is shown as the plain difference.

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Age
Year
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Out-migration rate of Duaringa from 2021 to 2055
Small area; out-migrants per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
Age Group 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054 2055
0-4 -0.0060 0.1527 0.0476 0.1421 0.1097 0.0670 0.0837 0.0719 0.0907 0.0681 0.0772 0.0669 0.0719 0.0700 0.0720 0.0718 0.0724 0.0721 0.0722 0.0721 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0720 0.0719 0.0720 0.0719 0.0720 0.0720
5-9 0.3369 0.3370 0.1418 0.2346 0.1920 0.5062 0.4184 0.3634 0.3583 0.3685 0.3480 0.3630 0.3200 0.3352 0.3256 0.3323 0.3326 0.3349 0.3352 0.3352 0.3345 0.3347 0.3345 0.3343 0.3343 0.3340 0.3344 0.3341 0.3342 0.3339 0.3340 0.3338 0.3339 0.3339 0.3340
10-14 0.4164 0.5068 0.3036 0.3026 0.2233 0.7358 0.6932 0.5662 0.5993 0.5858 0.5719 0.5836 0.5789 0.5707 0.5857 0.5674 0.5620 0.5517 0.5467 0.5526 0.5502 0.5560 0.5552 0.5560 0.5553 0.5549 0.5550 0.5548 0.5545 0.5543 0.5543 0.5542 0.5541 0.5541 0.5543
15-19 1.0126 0.5809 0.3541 0.3449 0.3637 0.8023 0.9233 0.9514 0.9632 0.9549 0.9732 0.9544 0.9625 0.9618 0.9613 0.9598 0.9625 0.9597 0.9611 0.9617 0.9595 0.9604 0.9586 0.9602 0.9594 0.9602 0.9597 0.9603 0.9599 0.9601 0.9599 0.9601 0.9599 0.9599 0.9599
20-24 0.6180 0.4829 0.3228 0.3799 0.2339 0.7372 0.5342 0.4791 0.5443 0.5494 0.6180 0.6227 0.6058 0.6037 0.6037 0.6039 0.6012 0.6013 0.6041 0.6004 0.6009 0.6034 0.6025 0.6018 0.6017 0.6010 0.6042 0.6011 0.6021 0.6011 0.6024 0.6017 0.6020 0.6026 0.6025
25-29 0.8540 0.2570 0.2984 0.3742 0.3288 0.9099 0.7167 0.8287 0.8597 0.8373 0.8478 0.8322 0.8405 0.8410 0.8422 0.8409 0.8416 0.8414 0.8413 0.8414 0.8418 0.8414 0.8413 0.8415 0.8415 0.8417 0.8413 0.8414 0.8416 0.8417 0.8415 0.8416 0.8415 0.8415 0.8414
30-34 0.2194 0.2348 0.2123 0.1402 0.2490 0.3664 0.6965 0.6078 0.6389 0.6312 0.6397 0.6363 0.6395 0.6372 0.6377 0.6376 0.6377 0.6374 0.6375 0.6378 0.6374 0.6375 0.6377 0.6376 0.6375 0.6376 0.6375 0.6378 0.6375 0.6376 0.6375 0.6376 0.6375 0.6376 0.6376
35-39 0.6141 0.2740 0.1547 0.2690 0.1671 0.5957 0.5343 0.5120 0.5001 0.5151 0.5108 0.5161 0.5129 0.5129 0.5128 0.5132 0.5123 0.5124 0.5130 0.5123 0.5121 0.5128 0.5127 0.5124 0.5124 0.5123 0.5129 0.5123 0.5124 0.5123 0.5125 0.5124 0.5124 0.5126 0.5126
40-44 0.4774 0.1770 0.1483 0.1198 0.1134 0.7166 0.1759 0.2910 0.3360 0.2585 0.2860 0.2702 0.2674 0.2675 0.2670 0.2689 0.2680 0.2676 0.2680 0.2679 0.2674 0.2676 0.2681 0.2677 0.2674 0.2675 0.2680 0.2677 0.2676 0.2673 0.2677 0.2675 0.2676 0.2676 0.2678
45-49 0.0086 0.1413 0.0975 0.1629 0.0773 0.4453 0.3367 0.2831 0.3134 0.3133 0.3317 0.3379 0.3440 0.3449 0.3452 0.3431 0.3412 0.3410 0.3414 0.3414 0.3415 0.3419 0.3421 0.3419 0.3419 0.3419 0.3422 0.3420 0.3420 0.3420 0.3422 0.3421 0.3422 0.3423 0.3423
50-54 -0.0372 0.1407 0.1544 0.1003 0.0668 0.2368 0.1977 0.2599 0.2267 0.2261 0.2357 0.2145 0.2169 0.2181 0.2193 0.2185 0.2214 0.2206 0.2220 0.2224 0.2224 0.2223 0.2218 0.2218 0.2219 0.2219 0.2220 0.2217 0.2220 0.2220 0.2220 0.2219 0.2220 0.2220 0.2219
55-59 0.1390 0.0635 0.0419 0.0607 0.0336 0.1128 0.1578 0.1521 0.1101 0.1109 0.1418 0.1232 0.1240 0.1239 0.1595 0.1353 0.1355 0.1330 0.1353 0.1351 0.1354 0.1356 0.1356 0.1355 0.1355 0.1356 0.1356 0.1355 0.1355 0.1355 0.1356 0.1355 0.1355 0.1355 0.1355
60-64 0.0187 0.0724 0.0815 0.0711 0.0442 0.1207 0.0648 0.0824 0.0779 0.1149 0.1479 0.1274 0.0965 0.1076 0.1198 0.1178 0.1131 0.1171 0.1110 0.1065 0.1069 0.1140 0.1138 0.1120 0.1120 0.1119 0.1118 0.1119 0.1119 0.1120 0.1120 0.1120 0.1120 0.1120 0.1120
65-69 0.2181 0.1967 0.1149 0.1469 0.0926 0.3563 0.3497 0.1909 0.1385 0.1069 0.1263 0.1270 0.2189 0.2486 0.2277 0.1767 0.1851 0.1774 0.1636 0.1677 0.1829 0.1851 0.1847 0.1881 0.1932 0.1917 0.1909 0.1895 0.1896 0.1894 0.1895 0.1896 0.1896 0.1896 0.1896
70-74 -0.1014 0.1383 0.1804 0.0437 0.0039 0.0042 0.0068 0.0029 0.0057 0.0465 0.0272 0.0141 0.0141 0.0077 0.0070 0.0076 0.0062 0.0088 0.0115 0.0110 0.0092 0.0100 0.0087 0.0085 0.0096 0.0108 0.0110 0.0109 0.0110 0.0107 0.0107 0.0107 0.0108 0.0107 0.0107
75-79 -0.0905 0.0434 0.1321 0.0182 0.0276 0.0361 0.0257 0.0400 0.0377 0.0379 0.1080 0.1045 0.0402 0.0327 0.0379 0.0402 0.0431 0.0258 0.0225 0.0215 0.0239 0.0221 0.0367 0.0397 0.0395 0.0324 0.0342 0.0314 0.0295 0.0317 0.0359 0.0374 0.0376 0.0379 0.0378
80-84 0.2156 0.0000 0.0288 0.0356 0.0847 0.0000 0.1305 0.0683 0.0000 0.0652 0.0940 0.0342 0.2040 0.0000 0.0000 0.0163 0.0128 0.1373 0.0497 0.0135 0.0716 0.0184 0.0406 0.0509 0.0087 0.2107 0.0627 0.1280 0.0241 0.1213 0.0209 0.0269 0.0875 0.1129 0.0806
85+ 0.1667 0.1895 0.2868 0.0300 0.0183 0.1449 0.1063 0.0840 0.1734 0.1018 0.0610 0.0627 0.0655 0.0453 0.0412 0.0311 0.0215 0.0218 0.0150 0.0154 0.0604 0.0474 0.0298 0.0264 0.0191 0.0152 0.0130 0.0105 0.0092 0.0091 0.0089 0.0091 0.0096 0.0092 0.0088
Total 0.2513 0.2075 0.1555 0.1669 0.1395 0.3794 0.3306 0.3013 0.2959 0.2811 0.2948 0.2918 0.2939 0.2955 0.2997 0.3004 0.3004 0.3035 0.3026 0.3016 0.3032 0.3039 0.3039 0.3041 0.3033 0.3058 0.3049 0.3047 0.3037 0.3040 0.3034 0.3030 0.3035 0.3040 0.3038
See also