Out-migration rate of
Methul - Cowabbie small area forecast
Out-migration Rate explained
Out-migration rate shows how common moves out of an area are at each age. This page gives out-migration rates by age and sex. Each rate is the number of people who leave per person at that age in a given year.
Place Forecast works out these rates from migration estimates and population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Each rate divides the number who moved out at a given age by the people at risk for that age and sex.
The total row divides total people who moved out by the total at risk, giving a single weighted rate for the year. In projected years, out-migration rates are applied first. Migration balancing then adjusts the figures so that births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration all align with the total.
Out-migration rate of Methul - Cowabbie from 2021 to 2055
Small area; out-migrants per person
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
| Age Group | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 | 2055 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 0.2885 | 0.2615 | 0.1714 | 0.1499 | 0.1393 | 0.3393 | 0.3252 | 0.3312 | 0.3344 | 0.3325 | 0.3323 | 0.3325 | 0.3323 | 0.3326 | 0.3327 | 0.3328 | 0.3327 | 0.3326 | 0.3326 | 0.3326 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3326 | 0.3326 | 0.3326 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 | 0.3327 |
| 5-9 | 0.0350 | 0.0662 | 0.0620 | 0.0352 | 0.0493 | 0.1914 | 0.1776 | 0.1806 | 0.1576 | 0.1652 | 0.1700 | 0.1706 | 0.1735 | 0.1724 | 0.1714 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1715 | 0.1714 | 0.1714 | 0.1713 | 0.1712 | 0.1712 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 | 0.1713 |
| 10-14 | 0.0726 | 0.0510 | 0.0269 | 0.0415 | 0.0222 | 0.0888 | 0.0884 | 0.0700 | 0.0728 | 0.0762 | 0.0813 | 0.0883 | 0.0807 | 0.0744 | 0.0741 | 0.0732 | 0.0737 | 0.0744 | 0.0742 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 | 0.0740 |
| 15-19 | 0.3200 | 0.1468 | 0.1087 | 0.1858 | 0.1128 | 0.2952 | 0.3295 | 0.3308 | 0.3350 | 0.3309 | 0.3337 | 0.3404 | 0.3444 | 0.3369 | 0.3360 | 0.3300 | 0.3381 | 0.3384 | 0.3396 | 0.3399 | 0.3385 | 0.3382 | 0.3383 | 0.3384 | 0.3384 | 0.3384 | 0.3385 | 0.3385 | 0.3385 | 0.3385 | 0.3384 | 0.3384 | 0.3384 | 0.3384 | 0.3384 |
| 20-24 | 0.7332 | 0.2577 | 0.2346 | 0.2470 | 0.2312 | 0.7146 | 0.6876 | 0.6701 | 0.6674 | 0.6678 | 0.6623 | 0.6746 | 0.6668 | 0.6636 | 0.6688 | 0.6661 | 0.6722 | 0.6671 | 0.6696 | 0.6664 | 0.6662 | 0.6684 | 0.6673 | 0.6679 | 0.6677 | 0.6675 | 0.6675 | 0.6674 | 0.6674 | 0.6674 | 0.6674 | 0.6674 | 0.6673 | 0.6673 | 0.6673 |
| 25-29 | 0.3537 | 0.1761 | 0.1509 | 0.1706 | 0.1769 | 0.5662 | 0.4968 | 0.4553 | 0.4598 | 0.4636 | 0.4640 | 0.4634 | 0.4636 | 0.4630 | 0.4624 | 0.4627 | 0.4630 | 0.4632 | 0.4630 | 0.4630 | 0.4627 | 0.4627 | 0.4628 | 0.4629 | 0.4630 | 0.4630 | 0.4630 | 0.4629 | 0.4628 | 0.4628 | 0.4628 | 0.4629 | 0.4629 | 0.4629 | 0.4628 |
| 30-34 | 0.2618 | 0.1232 | 0.1282 | 0.1083 | 0.0885 | 0.2142 | 0.2238 | 0.2698 | 0.2653 | 0.2646 | 0.2626 | 0.2618 | 0.2622 | 0.2621 | 0.2619 | 0.2620 | 0.2621 | 0.2621 | 0.2620 | 0.2621 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 | 0.2620 |
| 35-39 | 0.2517 | 0.1500 | 0.1453 | 0.1429 | 0.1248 | 0.5065 | 0.3384 | 0.3713 | 0.3949 | 0.4422 | 0.4561 | 0.4324 | 0.4330 | 0.4308 | 0.4324 | 0.4359 | 0.4358 | 0.4361 | 0.4361 | 0.4358 | 0.4355 | 0.4356 | 0.4358 | 0.4360 | 0.4361 | 0.4360 | 0.4359 | 0.4358 | 0.4358 | 0.4358 | 0.4359 | 0.4360 | 0.4360 | 0.4360 | 0.4360 |
| 40-44 | 0.0170 | 0.1269 | 0.1202 | 0.1228 | 0.1215 | 0.3372 | 0.2314 | 0.1895 | 0.1692 | 0.1596 | 0.1759 | 0.2123 | 0.2164 | 0.2146 | 0.2103 | 0.2070 | 0.2065 | 0.2087 | 0.2087 | 0.2090 | 0.2084 | 0.2079 | 0.2076 | 0.2076 | 0.2078 | 0.2080 | 0.2081 | 0.2081 | 0.2079 | 0.2077 | 0.2076 | 0.2076 | 0.2076 | 0.2076 | 0.2076 |
| 45-49 | 0.1497 | 0.0592 | 0.0705 | 0.0538 | 0.0457 | 0.2134 | 0.1409 | 0.1554 | 0.1479 | 0.1764 | 0.2201 | 0.2371 | 0.2181 | 0.1964 | 0.1759 | 0.1788 | 0.1905 | 0.1952 | 0.1959 | 0.1951 | 0.1932 | 0.1932 | 0.1937 | 0.1939 | 0.1940 | 0.1940 | 0.1939 | 0.1938 | 0.1937 | 0.1938 | 0.1939 | 0.1939 | 0.1939 | 0.1939 | 0.1939 |
| 50-54 | 0.0188 | 0.0593 | 0.0455 | 0.0773 | 0.0340 | 0.1582 | 0.1248 | 0.0927 | 0.1456 | 0.1905 | 0.1447 | 0.1295 | 0.1492 | 0.1426 | 0.1344 | 0.1321 | 0.1354 | 0.1416 | 0.1496 | 0.1453 | 0.1400 | 0.1406 | 0.1403 | 0.1407 | 0.1415 | 0.1414 | 0.1411 | 0.1411 | 0.1411 | 0.1412 | 0.1412 | 0.1412 | 0.1412 | 0.1412 | 0.1412 |
| 55-59 | 0.0538 | 0.0605 | 0.0617 | 0.0647 | 0.0536 | 0.2082 | 0.1525 | 0.1830 | 0.2010 | 0.1936 | 0.1911 | 0.1788 | 0.1635 | 0.1449 | 0.1465 | 0.1819 | 0.1881 | 0.1757 | 0.1842 | 0.1777 | 0.1723 | 0.1667 | 0.1665 | 0.1679 | 0.1701 | 0.1731 | 0.1725 | 0.1721 | 0.1719 | 0.1717 | 0.1717 | 0.1718 | 0.1718 | 0.1717 | 0.1717 |
| 60-64 | 0.0872 | 0.0551 | 0.0513 | 0.1221 | 0.0408 | 0.1372 | 0.1164 | 0.0980 | 0.1018 | 0.1139 | 0.1279 | 0.1395 | 0.1383 | 0.1343 | 0.1288 | 0.1295 | 0.1350 | 0.1387 | 0.1389 | 0.1407 | 0.1339 | 0.1295 | 0.1318 | 0.1315 | 0.1322 | 0.1336 | 0.1356 | 0.1355 | 0.1352 | 0.1341 | 0.1331 | 0.1332 | 0.1334 | 0.1335 | 0.1336 |
| 65-69 | 0.0373 | 0.0525 | 0.0247 | 0.1133 | 0.0383 | 0.0913 | 0.0983 | 0.0933 | 0.0681 | 0.0656 | 0.0782 | 0.1097 | 0.1183 | 0.1091 | 0.1017 | 0.0978 | 0.1008 | 0.1008 | 0.0993 | 0.0989 | 0.1002 | 0.1005 | 0.0981 | 0.0990 | 0.1001 | 0.0987 | 0.0990 | 0.1003 | 0.0998 | 0.0997 | 0.0997 | 0.0996 | 0.0995 | 0.0995 | 0.0994 |
| 70-74 | -0.0257 | 0.0256 | 0.0387 | 0.1612 | 0.0221 | 0.0545 | 0.0541 | 0.0641 | 0.0488 | 0.0396 | 0.0399 | 0.0431 | 0.0482 | 0.0538 | 0.0570 | 0.0563 | 0.0508 | 0.0484 | 0.0479 | 0.0487 | 0.0493 | 0.0495 | 0.0501 | 0.0501 | 0.0501 | 0.0501 | 0.0498 | 0.0494 | 0.0498 | 0.0504 | 0.0502 | 0.0500 | 0.0500 | 0.0500 | 0.0499 |
| 75-79 | 0.0515 | 0.0194 | 0.0202 | 0.0418 | 0.0152 | 0.0446 | 0.0438 | 0.0413 | 0.0571 | 0.0518 | 0.0375 | 0.0464 | 0.0354 | 0.0435 | 0.0518 | 0.0589 | 0.0498 | 0.0409 | 0.0425 | 0.0395 | 0.0381 | 0.0434 | 0.0500 | 0.0524 | 0.0494 | 0.0471 | 0.0464 | 0.0464 | 0.0467 | 0.0465 | 0.0466 | 0.0468 | 0.0467 | 0.0462 | 0.0463 |
| 80-84 | 0.1930 | 0.1166 | 0.1101 | 0.1000 | 0.0805 | 0.3471 | 0.2065 | 0.2614 | 0.1905 | 0.2296 | 0.2103 | 0.2402 | 0.1952 | 0.2068 | 0.2104 | 0.1872 | 0.2203 | 0.2337 | 0.2335 | 0.1895 | 0.2023 | 0.1927 | 0.1894 | 0.1937 | 0.2094 | 0.2175 | 0.2173 | 0.2134 | 0.2107 | 0.2094 | 0.2102 | 0.2108 | 0.2104 | 0.2096 | 0.2105 |
| 85+ | 0.1246 | 0.0129 | 0.0411 | 0.0559 | 0.0081 | 0.0318 | 0.0281 | 0.0244 | 0.0215 | 0.0174 | 0.0150 | 0.0124 | 0.0104 | 0.0087 | 0.0076 | 0.0066 | 0.0058 | 0.0051 | 0.0047 | 0.0043 | 0.0041 | 0.0039 | 0.0038 | 0.0036 | 0.0034 | 0.0033 | 0.0032 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 |
| Total | 0.1569 | 0.0960 | 0.0817 | 0.1080 | 0.0729 | 0.2300 | 0.2021 | 0.2027 | 0.2089 | 0.2157 | 0.2177 | 0.2231 | 0.2224 | 0.2196 | 0.2194 | 0.2207 | 0.2231 | 0.2232 | 0.2247 | 0.2229 | 0.2225 | 0.2224 | 0.2228 | 0.2234 | 0.2241 | 0.2246 | 0.2245 | 0.2243 | 0.2241 | 0.2241 | 0.2241 | 0.2241 | 0.2241 | 0.2241 | 0.2241 |