DEMO

Population density of Main Beach small area forecast

Population Density Explained

Population density is the number of people per square kilometre of land. Place Forecast computes it as population divided by land area.

Density is a fair way to compare places of different size. A small town and a big city can have the same density but very different populations.

Estimated figures come from the Estimated Resident Population. Future density is projected using the cohort-component method. Only the population changes over time. The land area stays fixed within an ASGS edition.

A few things matter when you read density:

  • Density is not the same as crowding. Crowding is about how many people share a home. Density is about how people spread over land. A place can be dense but not crowded.
  • The land area is gross. It includes parks, water, and unused land. Places with lots of unused land look less dense than they feel.
  • In remote places the population estimate is less certain.

The comparison page opens on a Dorling cartogram by default. A plain map can mislead for density. Large areas draw the eye. A cartogram sizes each area by value, not by land area, so the eye reads the rate, not the shape. You can switch to a Demers cartogram or a plain choropleth map from the toolbox.

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Population density of Main Beach
Small area
Source: Forecast data provided by Place Info Pty Ltd.
Age Group 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054
0-4 17.17 14.65 16.54 16.33 16.54 18.51 16.87 16.89 15.90 15.39 15.41 15.28 15.14 15.03 14.94 14.88 14.83 14.82 14.82 14.83 14.86 14.89 14.93 14.97 15.02 15.08 15.13 15.20 15.26 15.33 15.40 15.47 15.54 15.61 15.68
5-9 16.54 15.28 11.72 12.98 11.10 11.61 12.58 12.90 13.74 14.51 14.15 13.78 13.74 13.32 13.07 13.05 12.97 12.92 12.89 12.87 12.86 12.86 12.87 12.89 12.92 12.96 13.00 13.05 13.10 13.15 13.20 13.26 13.32 13.38 13.44
10-14 20.10 17.79 15.91 14.65 13.19 14.49 14.21 13.95 13.69 13.77 13.96 14.51 14.65 15.17 15.56 15.61 15.64 15.54 15.45 15.41 15.41 15.42 15.45 15.47 15.50 15.55 15.60 15.65 15.71 15.77 15.84 15.91 15.97 16.05 16.12
15-19 26.59 25.96 26.17 25.12 24.08 23.75 22.88 23.02 23.36 23.20 22.99 22.95 22.87 22.87 22.89 22.93 22.96 23.02 23.11 23.16 23.23 23.31 23.39 23.47 23.57 23.67 23.78 23.89 24.00 24.11 24.22 24.33 24.45 24.56 24.68
20-24 46.06 45.01 45.64 52.55 57.57 56.25 50.77 47.70 46.33 45.96 45.87 45.82 45.75 45.74 45.72 45.75 45.82 45.92 46.04 46.13 46.28 46.44 46.61 46.78 46.97 47.18 47.39 47.62 47.83 48.05 48.27 48.50 48.73 48.96 49.20
25-29 54.85 52.34 55.27 56.52 65.74 66.97 65.84 62.67 61.26 60.08 58.92 58.29 58.08 58.02 57.99 58.01 58.09 58.19 58.33 58.45 58.63 58.82 59.03 59.24 59.47 59.73 60.00 60.27 60.55 60.83 61.10 61.39 61.68 61.97 62.27
30-34 45.01 41.24 43.96 46.89 46.68 53.29 47.51 44.65 41.90 40.66 40.13 40.07 39.79 39.71 39.65 39.59 39.61 39.67 39.76 39.83 39.95 40.08 40.21 40.35 40.51 40.68 40.86 41.05 41.23 41.42 41.61 41.80 42.00 42.20 42.40
35-39 37.68 39.78 34.96 36.43 39.57 44.43 45.76 43.56 42.41 40.52 40.24 39.58 39.56 39.32 39.24 39.18 39.22 39.25 39.33 39.41 39.51 39.63 39.76 39.90 40.05 40.22 40.39 40.58 40.76 40.94 41.13 41.32 41.51 41.71 41.91
40-44 39.36 34.12 34.96 34.96 31.40 35.83 35.16 33.42 33.84 35.54 35.28 35.04 34.60 34.35 34.03 33.96 33.89 33.90 33.92 33.95 34.02 34.12 34.21 34.32 34.44 34.58 34.72 34.87 35.02 35.17 35.33 35.49 35.66 35.83 36.00
45-49 47.73 42.08 41.03 37.89 38.31 41.18 41.65 42.33 42.72 41.83 41.77 41.41 41.03 41.03 41.37 41.34 41.33 41.32 41.36 41.36 41.45 41.55 41.68 41.80 41.95 42.11 42.29 42.47 42.66 42.85 43.04 43.24 43.44 43.64 43.85
50-54 64.90 66.15 63.22 60.92 56.11 56.50 57.73 59.50 61.43 62.10 61.73 61.57 61.49 61.54 61.31 61.41 61.44 61.46 61.57 61.73 61.89 62.08 62.28 62.48 62.70 62.95 63.22 63.50 63.78 64.07 64.36 64.66 64.96 65.26 65.57
55-59 72.64 71.81 69.29 64.27 59.66 67.73 72.36 70.10 67.33 64.05 61.69 61.22 61.53 61.90 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.34 62.46 62.53 62.70 62.87 63.05 63.26 63.50 63.75 64.01 64.29 64.57 64.86 65.15 65.45 65.75 66.06 66.37
60-64 88.55 86.88 88.97 88.97 84.58 88.33 85.28 86.10 86.98 88.43 90.54 90.73 89.55 88.28 87.08 86.56 86.67 86.98 87.28 87.52 87.72 87.95 88.21 88.49 88.78 89.13 89.49 89.87 90.26 90.66 91.06 91.47 91.90 92.33 92.76
65-69 76.41 81.86 78.71 78.30 84.16 87.53 91.55 91.76 90.00 89.29 90.32 88.09 87.96 87.68 87.52 88.21 88.50 88.36 88.20 87.95 87.92 88.10 88.37 88.66 88.97 89.28 89.62 89.97 90.35 90.73 91.12 91.53 91.94 92.37 92.80
70-74 83.32 83.74 81.02 84.79 84.16 84.94 89.58 90.15 93.79 97.29 97.59 100.12 101.14 100.39 99.95 100.43 98.96 98.82 98.68 98.68 99.22 99.59 99.70 99.80 99.85 100.01 100.31 100.68 101.08 101.49 101.90 102.33 102.77 103.23 103.69
75-79 58.83 65.94 78.51 85.62 83.32 84.50 83.42 85.45 89.05 89.95 90.61 92.59 93.16 95.31 97.48 98.01 99.64 100.26 99.74 99.72 99.96 99.18 99.20 99.17 99.34 99.83 100.23 100.48 100.70 100.91 101.17 101.53 101.94 102.37 102.81
80-84 31.82 37.05 43.96 42.29 50.03 57.15 61.56 68.73 72.68 72.52 71.72 71.15 71.77 73.91 75.17 75.59 76.76 77.39 78.64 80.54 81.51 82.47 82.93 82.76 82.41 82.42 81.98 82.02 82.12 82.35 82.76 83.10 83.31 83.52 83.71
85+ 18.63 20.10 25.75 32.45 38.31 43.98 49.86 51.68 54.02 61.20 69.25 75.80 82.09 86.17 90.39 94.70 98.74 103.06 107.51 110.86 113.70 117.30 120.64 124.58 128.30 130.98 133.95 136.40 138.71 140.89 142.76 144.53 146.29 147.98 149.62
Total 846.19 841.79 855.61 871.94 884.50 936.98 944.57 944.57 950.43 956.30 962.16 968.03 973.89 979.75 985.62 991.48 997.34 1003.21 1009.07 1014.93 1020.80 1026.66 1032.52 1038.39 1044.25 1050.11 1055.98 1061.84 1067.70 1073.57 1079.43 1085.30 1091.16 1097.02 1102.89
See also