Natural change is the number of births minus the number of deaths. The natural change report shows births, deaths, and the resulting natural change over time. A positive number means more people were born than died, adding to the population.
Natural change is one part of annual population change. The other part is net migration, which is in-migration minus out-migration. Together, natural change and net migration explain why a population grows or shrinks.
| Small Area | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Rural | 2.83 | -2.78 | -11.43 | -9.84 | -8.54 | -11.17 | -14.02 | -17.80 | -21.51 | -24.41 | -26.87 | -28.84 | -31.00 | -32.91 | -34.50 | -35.86 | -37.04 | -38.45 | -39.61 | -40.90 | -42.13 | -43.30 | -44.28 | -45.38 | -46.34 | -47.20 | -48.26 | -49.02 | -49.97 | -50.61 | -51.21 | -51.85 | -52.42 | -52.99 |
| Cundletown - Dumaresq Island | -4.81 | -9.21 | -8.12 | -4.90 | -3.13 | -2.74 | -2.67 | -3.49 | -4.25 | -4.64 | -5.45 | -5.92 | -6.59 | -6.82 | -7.05 | -7.25 | -7.57 | -7.78 | -7.87 | -8.08 | -8.25 | -8.45 | -8.55 | -8.52 | -8.56 | -8.46 | -8.42 | -8.37 | -8.27 | -8.23 | -8.21 | -8.14 | -8.08 | -8.04 |
| Forster - Green Point | -113.00 | -143.98 | -120.01 | -162.99 | -144.51 | -143.55 | -147.23 | -152.19 | -156.79 | -160.61 | -164.82 | -169.50 | -172.94 | -176.33 | -179.05 | -181.77 | -184.19 | -186.84 | -188.88 | -191.16 | -193.11 | -195.06 | -196.84 | -198.53 | -200.04 | -201.45 | -202.81 | -204.06 | -205.24 | -206.36 | -207.47 | -208.53 | -209.63 | -210.70 |
| Gloucester | -18.47 | -7.28 | -12.87 | -12.31 | -10.51 | -12.22 | -13.35 | -14.89 | -16.26 | -17.34 | -18.64 | -19.64 | -20.42 | -21.33 | -21.98 | -22.67 | -23.18 | -23.66 | -24.18 | -24.48 | -24.89 | -25.23 | -25.50 | -25.84 | -26.10 | -26.33 | -26.55 | -26.75 | -26.91 | -27.10 | -27.33 | -27.50 | -27.65 | -27.78 |
| Hallidays Point - Diamond Beach and surrounds | -9.42 | -16.27 | -3.85 | -22.26 | -17.67 | -19.36 | -24.16 | -28.97 | -32.64 | -35.37 | -37.88 | -40.44 | -42.55 | -45.07 | -47.18 | -49.44 | -51.66 | -53.58 | -55.57 | -57.36 | -59.20 | -61.07 | -62.85 | -64.41 | -65.67 | -67.04 | -68.22 | -69.53 | -70.91 | -72.13 | -73.30 | -74.63 | -75.97 | -77.38 |
| Harrington - Crowdy Head | 7.97 | -2.55 | -8.60 | -7.97 | -3.11 | -1.57 | -3.51 | -5.61 | -6.86 | -9.12 | -11.15 | -12.65 | -14.18 | -15.71 | -17.09 | -18.23 | -19.31 | -20.05 | -20.59 | -21.22 | -21.57 | -21.93 | -22.34 | -22.65 | -22.76 | -23.04 | -22.89 | -22.94 | -22.94 | -22.88 | -22.96 | -23.01 | -23.05 | -23.13 |
| Hawks Nest - Tea Gardens | -53.50 | -68.32 | -86.43 | -79.02 | -67.81 | -68.35 | -74.90 | -79.69 | -84.95 | -90.14 | -94.51 | -99.46 | -103.13 | -106.50 | -110.02 | -113.14 | -115.69 | -118.23 | -120.78 | -122.65 | -124.70 | -126.13 | -127.65 | -129.01 | -130.21 | -130.88 | -131.38 | -131.86 | -132.48 | -132.89 | -133.22 | -133.50 | -133.85 | -134.24 |
| Northern Rural | 11.11 | -3.46 | -12.02 | -10.98 | -7.94 | -7.71 | -8.88 | -10.91 | -12.03 | -12.90 | -13.99 | -15.16 | -16.53 | -17.60 | -19.04 | -20.35 | -21.24 | -22.10 | -22.99 | -23.67 | -24.54 | -25.27 | -26.00 | -26.79 | -27.64 | -28.26 | -28.90 | -29.42 | -29.95 | -30.48 | -30.95 | -31.42 | -31.87 | -32.24 |
| Old Bar - Wallabi point | -10.36 | -17.90 | -4.24 | -24.49 | -20.91 | -22.76 | -22.46 | -23.82 | -25.57 | -27.86 | -30.95 | -33.55 | -36.23 | -38.72 | -40.80 | -42.53 | -44.44 | -46.10 | -47.84 | -49.59 | -51.06 | -52.27 | -53.40 | -54.31 | -55.26 | -56.12 | -56.82 | -57.51 | -58.15 | -58.78 | -59.43 | -60.09 | -60.72 | -61.36 |
| Pacific Palms - Coomba Park area | 2.02 | 12.16 | -5.42 | 6.08 | 7.45 | 7.99 | 7.65 | 6.81 | 9.46 | 11.28 | 12.95 | 13.62 | 14.12 | 14.53 | 14.85 | 14.90 | 14.59 | 14.42 | 14.25 | 14.35 | 14.33 | 14.23 | 14.05 | 13.89 | 13.64 | 13.42 | 13.27 | 13.14 | 12.98 | 12.72 | 12.56 | 12.41 | 12.19 | 11.96 |
| Southern Rural | -35.32 | -30.79 | -46.41 | -40.05 | -35.81 | -38.01 | -39.32 | -42.08 | -45.14 | -47.55 | -50.25 | -52.06 | -54.18 | -56.62 | -58.83 | -60.75 | -62.28 | -63.75 | -65.80 | -67.13 | -68.65 | -70.51 | -72.09 | -73.55 | -74.76 | -75.85 | -77.20 | -78.39 | -79.72 | -80.81 | -81.83 | -82.66 | -83.61 | -84.31 |
| Taree | -44.47 | -83.28 | -72.77 | -43.66 | -10.06 | -16.17 | -28.77 | -39.68 | -47.02 | -54.77 | -60.17 | -65.95 | -70.18 | -73.61 | -76.28 | -78.46 | -80.85 | -82.59 | -84.16 | -85.62 | -87.11 | -88.59 | -90.19 | -91.36 | -92.44 | -93.48 | -94.21 | -95.04 | -95.93 | -96.55 | -97.39 | -98.15 | -98.92 | -99.71 |
| Tinonee - Taree South | -4.65 | -8.72 | -7.62 | -4.57 | -3.95 | -3.71 | -6.91 | -8.32 | -10.35 | -11.67 | -13.83 | -14.62 | -15.45 | -16.34 | -16.36 | -16.71 | -17.19 | -17.13 | -17.37 | -17.57 | -17.83 | -18.24 | -18.54 | -18.77 | -19.09 | -19.46 | -19.50 | -19.80 | -20.09 | -20.28 | -20.23 | -20.23 | -20.34 | -20.38 |
| Tuncurry - Darawank | -145.86 | -171.21 | -141.34 | -131.60 | -105.22 | -110.25 | -115.67 | -121.84 | -128.01 | -133.92 | -138.70 | -144.41 | -147.95 | -151.10 | -154.33 | -157.68 | -160.25 | -162.30 | -164.19 | -165.57 | -166.69 | -168.17 | -169.19 | -170.37 | -171.44 | -172.63 | -173.61 | -174.39 | -175.14 | -175.85 | -176.50 | -177.13 | -177.78 | -178.44 |
| Western Rural | -14.31 | -5.79 | -10.36 | -9.91 | -5.77 | -6.91 | -7.82 | -7.79 | -7.66 | -7.64 | -7.99 | -8.31 | -8.46 | -8.71 | -8.74 | -8.85 | -8.80 | -8.87 | -9.00 | -9.07 | -9.13 | -9.29 | -9.34 | -9.43 | -9.47 | -9.55 | -9.67 | -9.68 | -9.72 | -9.74 | -9.73 | -9.75 | -9.76 | -9.79 |
| Wingham | -9.00 | 1.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 0.79 | -0.14 | -1.39 | -3.39 | -3.67 | -4.54 | -5.56 | -6.71 | -7.97 | -8.85 | -9.58 | -10.29 | -11.07 | -11.56 | -12.02 | -12.51 | -12.80 | -13.11 | -13.32 | -13.29 | -13.45 | -13.70 | -13.90 | -14.04 | -14.13 | -14.31 | -14.29 | -14.25 | -14.26 | -14.25 |
| Total | -439.24 | -558.38 | -544.49 | -556.47 | -436.70 | -456.63 | -503.41 | -553.66 | -593.25 | -631.20 | -667.81 | -703.60 | -733.64 | -761.69 | -785.98 | -809.08 | -830.17 | -848.57 | -866.60 | -882.23 | -897.33 | -912.39 | -926.03 | -938.32 | -949.59 | -960.03 | -969.07 | -977.66 | -986.57 | -994.28 | -1001.49 | -1008.43 | -1015.72 | -1022.78 |