Population is the number of people who usually live in an area. Place Forecast uses this term as shorthand for the estimated resident population. It is a key indicator for the population domain.
Estimated figures come from the Estimated Resident Population published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Future population is projected using the cohort-component method. This starts from the jump-off year — the point where estimated data ends and projected data begins.
Population change is built from four components: births, deaths, in-migration, and out-migration. Each of these has its own page where you can see the numbers and rates that drive the total. Together they explain why an area is growing, shrinking, or staying the same.
| Small Area | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armstrong Creek - Mount Duneed | 14698.78 | 17022.90 | 19541.22 | 21662.69 | 24100.21 | 26113.37 | 28327.89 | 30684.58 | 33052.86 | 35399.90 | 37746.93 | 40093.96 | 42440.99 | 44788.03 | 47135.06 | 49482.09 | 51829.12 | 54176.16 | 56523.19 | 58870.22 | 61217.25 | 63564.29 | 65911.32 | 68258.35 | 70605.39 | 72952.42 | 75299.45 | 77646.48 | 79993.52 | 82340.55 | 84687.58 | 87034.61 | 89381.65 | 91728.68 | 94075.71 |
| Barwon Heads - Connewarre - Breamlea | 5227.43 | 5255.93 | 5515.67 | 5627.81 | 5757.07 | 5869.93 | 5938.96 | 6024.33 | 6110.97 | 6194.93 | 6278.89 | 6362.85 | 6446.81 | 6530.76 | 6614.72 | 6698.68 | 6782.64 | 6866.60 | 6950.55 | 7034.51 | 7118.47 | 7202.43 | 7286.39 | 7370.34 | 7454.30 | 7538.26 | 7622.22 | 7706.17 | 7790.13 | 7874.09 | 7958.05 | 8042.01 | 8125.96 | 8209.92 | 8293.88 |
| Bell Park | 5627.87 | 5622.59 | 5626.00 | 5619.99 | 5588.29 | 5603.90 | 5614.27 | 5633.32 | 5668.31 | 5687.36 | 5706.41 | 5725.46 | 5744.50 | 5763.55 | 5782.60 | 5801.65 | 5820.69 | 5839.74 | 5858.79 | 5877.84 | 5896.89 | 5915.93 | 5934.98 | 5954.03 | 5973.08 | 5992.12 | 6011.17 | 6030.22 | 6049.27 | 6068.32 | 6087.36 | 6106.41 | 6125.46 | 6144.51 | 6163.55 |
| Bell Post Hill | 5095.75 | 5023.75 | 5023.94 | 5041.21 | 5062.83 | 5076.64 | 5087.62 | 5098.60 | 5109.61 | 5120.61 | 5131.62 | 5142.63 | 5153.63 | 5164.64 | 5175.65 | 5186.65 | 5197.66 | 5208.66 | 5219.67 | 5230.68 | 5241.68 | 5252.69 | 5263.70 | 5274.70 | 5285.71 | 5296.71 | 5307.72 | 5318.73 | 5329.73 | 5340.74 | 5351.75 | 5362.75 | 5373.76 | 5384.77 | 5395.77 |
| Belmont | 15090.16 | 14990.06 | 14940.64 | 14991.83 | 15128.49 | 15160.18 | 15217.17 | 15266.09 | 15324.36 | 15370.59 | 15416.81 | 15463.04 | 15509.26 | 15555.49 | 15601.71 | 15647.94 | 15694.16 | 15740.39 | 15786.61 | 15832.84 | 15879.06 | 15925.28 | 15971.51 | 16017.73 | 16063.96 | 16110.18 | 16156.41 | 16202.63 | 16248.86 | 16295.08 | 16341.31 | 16387.53 | 16433.76 | 16479.98 | 16526.21 |
| Clifton Springs | 7588.49 | 7583.57 | 7789.84 | 7988.49 | 8021.14 | 8061.57 | 8070.28 | 8078.99 | 8089.22 | 8097.93 | 8106.64 | 8115.36 | 8124.07 | 8132.78 | 8141.49 | 8150.21 | 8158.92 | 8167.63 | 8176.35 | 8185.06 | 8193.77 | 8202.48 | 8211.20 | 8219.91 | 8228.62 | 8237.34 | 8246.05 | 8254.76 | 8263.47 | 8272.19 | 8280.90 | 8289.61 | 8298.33 | 8307.04 | 8315.75 |
| Corio | 15867.11 | 15598.51 | 15485.71 | 15631.75 | 15680.90 | 15724.24 | 15759.69 | 15801.51 | 15854.05 | 15906.60 | 15959.15 | 16011.69 | 16064.24 | 16116.79 | 16169.33 | 16221.88 | 16274.43 | 16326.98 | 16379.52 | 16432.07 | 16484.62 | 16537.16 | 16589.71 | 16642.26 | 16694.80 | 16747.35 | 16799.90 | 16852.44 | 16904.99 | 16957.54 | 17010.09 | 17062.63 | 17115.18 | 17167.73 | 17220.27 |
| Curlewis | 3654.40 | 4120.14 | 4173.15 | 4270.11 | 4398.01 | 4421.97 | 4443.54 | 4465.11 | 4486.68 | 4508.25 | 4529.82 | 4551.38 | 4572.95 | 4594.52 | 4616.09 | 4637.66 | 4659.23 | 4680.80 | 4702.37 | 4723.94 | 4745.51 | 4767.08 | 4788.65 | 4810.22 | 4831.79 | 4853.36 | 4874.93 | 4896.50 | 4918.07 | 4939.64 | 4961.21 | 4982.78 | 5004.35 | 5025.92 | 5047.49 |
| Drysdale - Bellarine | 5042.39 | 5211.92 | 5340.48 | 5446.59 | 5501.41 | 5520.14 | 5571.62 | 5640.97 | 5706.52 | 5772.07 | 5837.62 | 5903.17 | 5968.71 | 6034.26 | 6099.81 | 6165.36 | 6230.91 | 6296.46 | 6362.00 | 6427.55 | 6493.10 | 6558.65 | 6624.20 | 6689.75 | 6755.30 | 6820.84 | 6886.39 | 6951.94 | 7017.49 | 7083.04 | 7148.59 | 7214.13 | 7279.68 | 7345.23 | 7410.78 |
| East Geelong | 3979.70 | 3993.90 | 3974.97 | 4029.40 | 4017.55 | 4024.17 | 4034.17 | 4050.70 | 4064.90 | 4076.29 | 4087.68 | 4099.08 | 4110.47 | 4121.86 | 4133.25 | 4144.64 | 4156.04 | 4167.43 | 4178.82 | 4190.21 | 4201.60 | 4212.99 | 4224.39 | 4235.78 | 4247.17 | 4258.56 | 4269.95 | 4281.35 | 4292.74 | 4304.13 | 4315.52 | 4326.91 | 4338.30 | 4349.70 | 4361.09 |
| Geelong | 6354.96 | 6379.99 | 6373.06 | 6450.14 | 6532.19 | 6551.56 | 6714.06 | 6863.24 | 6880.59 | 6897.93 | 6915.27 | 6932.61 | 6949.96 | 6967.30 | 6984.64 | 7001.99 | 7019.33 | 7036.67 | 7054.01 | 7071.36 | 7088.70 | 7106.04 | 7123.38 | 7140.73 | 7158.07 | 7175.41 | 7192.75 | 7210.10 | 7227.44 | 7244.78 | 7262.12 | 7279.47 | 7296.81 | 7314.15 | 7331.50 |
| Geelong West - Manifold Heights | 10086.59 | 10054.56 | 10066.44 | 10227.36 | 10379.32 | 10413.57 | 10460.25 | 10515.01 | 10576.49 | 10627.22 | 10677.95 | 10728.68 | 10779.41 | 10830.13 | 10880.86 | 10931.59 | 10982.32 | 11033.05 | 11083.78 | 11134.51 | 11185.23 | 11235.96 | 11286.69 | 11337.42 | 11388.15 | 11438.88 | 11489.60 | 11540.33 | 11591.06 | 11641.79 | 11692.52 | 11743.25 | 11793.97 | 11844.70 | 11895.43 |
| Grovedale | 14905.49 | 14900.47 | 15099.47 | 15163.40 | 15223.33 | 15254.78 | 15281.28 | 15310.32 | 15339.37 | 15368.42 | 15397.46 | 15426.51 | 15455.55 | 15484.60 | 15513.65 | 15542.69 | 15571.74 | 15600.78 | 15629.83 | 15658.88 | 15687.92 | 15716.97 | 15746.01 | 15775.06 | 15804.11 | 15833.15 | 15862.20 | 15891.24 | 15920.29 | 15949.34 | 15978.38 | 16007.43 | 16036.47 | 16065.52 | 16094.57 |
| Hamlyn Heights | 6596.87 | 6539.16 | 6601.45 | 6778.34 | 6847.31 | 6895.08 | 6925.41 | 6955.78 | 6987.46 | 7015.14 | 7042.82 | 7070.51 | 7098.19 | 7125.88 | 7153.56 | 7181.25 | 7208.93 | 7236.61 | 7264.30 | 7291.98 | 7319.67 | 7347.35 | 7375.04 | 7402.72 | 7430.40 | 7458.09 | 7485.77 | 7513.46 | 7541.14 | 7568.83 | 7596.51 | 7624.20 | 7651.88 | 7679.56 | 7707.25 |
| Herne Hill - Fyansford | 4558.45 | 4758.14 | 4804.49 | 4932.65 | 5026.90 | 5156.53 | 5240.22 | 5331.44 | 5425.17 | 5513.87 | 5602.57 | 5691.27 | 5779.97 | 5868.67 | 5957.38 | 6046.08 | 6134.78 | 6223.48 | 6312.18 | 6400.88 | 6489.58 | 6578.28 | 6666.98 | 6755.68 | 6844.38 | 6933.08 | 7021.79 | 7110.49 | 7199.19 | 7287.89 | 7376.59 | 7465.29 | 7553.99 | 7642.69 | 7731.39 |
| Highton - Wandana Heights | 22976.69 | 23228.28 | 23705.63 | 24221.67 | 24688.68 | 24810.99 | 24946.74 | 25102.91 | 25272.68 | 25432.92 | 25593.15 | 25753.39 | 25913.62 | 26073.85 | 26234.09 | 26394.32 | 26554.56 | 26714.79 | 26875.02 | 27035.26 | 27195.49 | 27355.72 | 27515.96 | 27676.19 | 27836.43 | 27996.66 | 28156.89 | 28317.13 | 28477.36 | 28637.60 | 28797.83 | 28958.06 | 29118.30 | 29278.53 | 29438.77 |
| Lara | 18791.86 | 19064.07 | 19588.05 | 20281.14 | 21135.63 | 22183.26 | 23462.85 | 24789.30 | 26111.31 | 27430.39 | 28749.47 | 30068.55 | 31387.63 | 32706.71 | 34025.79 | 35344.87 | 36663.95 | 37983.02 | 39302.10 | 40621.18 | 41940.26 | 43259.34 | 44578.42 | 45897.50 | 47216.58 | 48535.66 | 49854.73 | 51173.81 | 52492.89 | 53811.97 | 55131.05 | 56450.13 | 57769.21 | 59088.29 | 60407.36 |
| Leopold | 13272.54 | 13213.84 | 13323.47 | 13507.44 | 13742.95 | 13793.33 | 14058.60 | 14323.87 | 14594.28 | 14859.56 | 15124.83 | 15390.10 | 15655.38 | 15920.65 | 16185.92 | 16451.20 | 16716.47 | 16981.74 | 17247.02 | 17512.29 | 17777.56 | 18042.84 | 18308.11 | 18573.38 | 18838.66 | 19103.93 | 19369.20 | 19634.48 | 19899.75 | 20165.02 | 20430.30 | 20695.57 | 20960.84 | 21226.12 | 21491.39 |
| Lovely Banks - Batesford - Moorabool | 3043.80 | 3081.45 | 3102.64 | 3103.62 | 3169.99 | 3176.28 | 3183.89 | 3191.50 | 3199.11 | 3206.72 | 3214.33 | 3221.94 | 3229.55 | 3237.16 | 3244.77 | 3252.39 | 3260.00 | 3267.61 | 3275.22 | 3282.83 | 3290.44 | 3298.05 | 3305.66 | 3313.27 | 3320.88 | 3328.50 | 3336.11 | 3343.72 | 3351.33 | 3358.94 | 3366.55 | 3374.16 | 3381.77 | 3389.38 | 3396.99 |
| Marshall - Charlemont | 4206.60 | 4931.04 | 5261.86 | 5661.40 | 6480.83 | 7160.15 | 7597.58 | 8025.86 | 8465.68 | 8903.20 | 9340.73 | 9778.25 | 10215.77 | 10653.29 | 11090.81 | 11528.33 | 11965.85 | 12403.37 | 12840.89 | 13278.42 | 13715.94 | 14153.46 | 14590.98 | 15028.50 | 15466.02 | 15903.54 | 16341.06 | 16778.58 | 17216.10 | 17653.63 | 18091.15 | 18528.67 | 18966.19 | 19403.71 | 19841.23 |
| Newcomb - Moolap | 6493.61 | 6522.74 | 6497.97 | 6473.36 | 6435.57 | 6476.05 | 6499.83 | 6519.01 | 6538.18 | 6557.36 | 6576.53 | 6595.71 | 6614.88 | 6634.06 | 6653.24 | 6672.41 | 6691.59 | 6710.76 | 6729.94 | 6749.12 | 6768.29 | 6787.47 | 6806.64 | 6825.82 | 6844.99 | 6864.17 | 6883.35 | 6902.52 | 6921.70 | 6940.87 | 6960.05 | 6979.23 | 6998.40 | 7017.58 | 7036.75 |
| Newtown | 10541.46 | 10394.69 | 10291.82 | 10349.75 | 10402.82 | 10450.77 | 10512.39 | 10673.04 | 10833.64 | 10991.64 | 11149.64 | 11307.64 | 11465.64 | 11623.64 | 11781.64 | 11939.64 | 12097.64 | 12255.64 | 12413.64 | 12571.64 | 12729.64 | 12887.64 | 13045.64 | 13203.64 | 13361.64 | 13519.63 | 13677.63 | 13835.63 | 13993.63 | 14151.63 | 14309.63 | 14467.63 | 14625.63 | 14783.63 | 14941.63 |
| Norlane - North Shore | 9016.70 | 8988.52 | 8898.12 | 8894.21 | 8884.63 | 8912.94 | 8942.40 | 8972.18 | 9001.95 | 9031.73 | 9061.50 | 9091.27 | 9121.05 | 9150.82 | 9180.59 | 9210.37 | 9240.14 | 9269.92 | 9299.69 | 9329.46 | 9359.24 | 9389.01 | 9418.79 | 9448.56 | 9478.33 | 9508.11 | 9537.88 | 9567.65 | 9597.43 | 9627.20 | 9656.98 | 9686.75 | 9716.52 | 9746.30 | 9776.07 |
| North Geelong - Rippleside | 4188.14 | 4171.32 | 4159.02 | 4156.87 | 4172.74 | 4196.85 | 4285.62 | 4296.01 | 4315.27 | 4334.54 | 4353.80 | 4373.06 | 4392.33 | 4411.59 | 4430.85 | 4450.12 | 4469.38 | 4488.65 | 4507.91 | 4527.17 | 4546.44 | 4565.70 | 4584.97 | 4604.23 | 4623.49 | 4642.76 | 4662.02 | 4681.28 | 4700.55 | 4719.81 | 4739.08 | 4758.34 | 4777.60 | 4796.87 | 4816.13 |
| Ocean Grove | 16951.44 | 17512.61 | 17908.67 | 18218.45 | 18530.36 | 18735.76 | 18983.47 | 19231.49 | 19466.60 | 19688.13 | 19909.67 | 20131.20 | 20352.73 | 20574.27 | 20795.80 | 21017.33 | 21238.86 | 21460.40 | 21681.93 | 21903.46 | 22125.00 | 22346.53 | 22568.06 | 22789.59 | 23011.13 | 23232.66 | 23454.19 | 23675.73 | 23897.26 | 24118.79 | 24340.33 | 24561.86 | 24783.39 | 25004.92 | 25226.46 |
| Portarlington | 4184.08 | 4380.07 | 4508.05 | 4525.83 | 4545.76 | 4566.83 | 4609.62 | 4705.90 | 4796.77 | 4883.06 | 4969.35 | 5055.64 | 5141.92 | 5228.21 | 5314.50 | 5400.79 | 5487.08 | 5573.36 | 5659.65 | 5745.94 | 5832.23 | 5918.51 | 6004.80 | 6091.09 | 6177.38 | 6263.67 | 6349.95 | 6436.24 | 6522.53 | 6608.82 | 6695.11 | 6781.39 | 6867.68 | 6953.97 | 7040.26 |
| Rural Bellarine Peninsula | 3840.26 | 4101.51 | 4241.18 | 4337.13 | 4430.46 | 4507.15 | 4567.12 | 4626.13 | 4685.16 | 4744.17 | 4803.18 | 4862.19 | 4921.20 | 4980.21 | 5039.22 | 5098.23 | 5157.24 | 5216.25 | 5275.26 | 5334.27 | 5393.28 | 5452.29 | 5511.30 | 5570.31 | 5629.32 | 5688.33 | 5747.34 | 5806.35 | 5865.36 | 5924.38 | 5983.39 | 6042.40 | 6101.41 | 6160.42 | 6219.43 |
| Rural North | 1780.07 | 1791.92 | 1773.99 | 1801.74 | 1833.27 | 1849.34 | 1853.65 | 1857.95 | 1862.26 | 1866.57 | 1870.87 | 1875.18 | 1879.49 | 1883.79 | 1888.10 | 1892.41 | 1896.71 | 1901.02 | 1905.33 | 1909.63 | 1913.94 | 1918.25 | 1922.55 | 1926.86 | 1931.17 | 1935.47 | 1939.78 | 1944.09 | 1948.39 | 1952.70 | 1957.01 | 1961.31 | 1965.62 | 1969.93 | 1974.23 |
| South Geelong - Thomson - Breakwater | 3744.94 | 3678.76 | 3741.64 | 3709.12 | 3711.96 | 3718.88 | 3726.68 | 3735.06 | 3748.14 | 3758.63 | 3769.12 | 3779.62 | 3790.11 | 3800.60 | 3811.09 | 3821.58 | 3832.07 | 3842.57 | 3853.06 | 3863.55 | 3874.04 | 3884.53 | 3895.02 | 3905.52 | 3916.01 | 3926.50 | 3936.99 | 3947.48 | 3957.97 | 3968.47 | 3978.96 | 3989.45 | 3999.94 | 4010.43 | 4020.92 |
| St Albans Park | 4971.90 | 4914.26 | 4852.89 | 4865.51 | 4871.60 | 4871.81 | 4881.02 | 4901.79 | 4926.89 | 4951.99 | 4977.09 | 5002.19 | 5027.29 | 5052.39 | 5077.49 | 5102.59 | 5127.69 | 5152.79 | 5177.89 | 5202.99 | 5228.10 | 5253.20 | 5278.30 | 5303.40 | 5328.50 | 5353.60 | 5378.70 | 5403.80 | 5428.90 | 5454.00 | 5479.10 | 5504.20 | 5529.30 | 5554.40 | 5579.50 |
| St Leonards - Indented Head | 4559.63 | 4893.31 | 5234.48 | 5562.99 | 5895.68 | 5998.77 | 6196.23 | 6293.83 | 6392.84 | 6490.45 | 6588.05 | 6685.65 | 6783.25 | 6880.85 | 6978.45 | 7076.05 | 7173.65 | 7271.25 | 7368.85 | 7466.45 | 7564.05 | 7661.65 | 7759.25 | 7856.85 | 7954.46 | 8052.06 | 8149.66 | 8247.26 | 8344.86 | 8442.46 | 8540.06 | 8637.66 | 8735.26 | 8832.86 | 8930.46 |
| Waurn Ponds - Ceres | 5072.85 | 5022.32 | 5133.51 | 5250.19 | 5371.39 | 5472.60 | 5585.83 | 5689.93 | 5797.70 | 5905.48 | 6013.25 | 6121.02 | 6228.80 | 6336.57 | 6444.34 | 6552.12 | 6659.89 | 6767.66 | 6875.43 | 6983.21 | 7090.98 | 7198.75 | 7306.53 | 7414.30 | 7522.07 | 7629.85 | 7737.62 | 7845.39 | 7953.16 | 8060.94 | 8168.71 | 8276.48 | 8384.26 | 8492.03 | 8599.80 |
| Whittington | 4017.73 | 3978.94 | 3946.46 | 3863.48 | 3884.65 | 3903.02 | 3909.36 | 3918.01 | 3928.98 | 3939.94 | 3950.91 | 3961.87 | 3972.84 | 3983.80 | 3994.77 | 4005.74 | 4016.70 | 4027.67 | 4038.63 | 4049.60 | 4060.57 | 4071.53 | 4082.50 | 4093.46 | 4104.43 | 4115.39 | 4126.36 | 4137.33 | 4148.29 | 4159.26 | 4170.22 | 4181.19 | 4192.15 | 4203.12 | 4214.09 |
| Total | 266028.74 | 270925.24 | 276525.98 | 282645.66 | 289453.92 | 294632.41 | 300489.31 | 306573.76 | 312614.00 | 318533.59 | 324453.11 | 330372.67 | 336292.19 | 342211.72 | 348131.26 | 354050.85 | 359970.37 | 365889.91 | 371809.43 | 377729.00 | 383648.54 | 389568.05 | 395487.63 | 401407.15 | 407326.72 | 413246.24 | 419165.76 | 425085.31 | 431004.85 | 436924.44 | 442843.99 | 448763.49 | 454683.02 | 460602.59 | 466522.11 |