Out-migration is the number of people who move out of the area each year. It covers moves abroad and moves to other parts of the country. This page shows total out-migration over time and a breakdown by age and sex.
Estimated figures come from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Projected out-migration is initially driven by out-migration rates from the jump-off year. Migration balancing is then applied to align all components with the total population.
Out-migration is one of the four components of population change. Along with deaths, it takes people away from the area. The gap between in-migration and out-migration is net migration. This is often the biggest driver of local growth or decline.
| Age Group | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 202.57 | 126.46 | 92.10 | 85.17 | 160.32 | 170.33 | 171.05 | 174.71 | 177.78 | 180.41 | 182.81 | 185.12 | 187.46 | 189.80 | 192.13 | 194.52 | 196.89 | 199.22 | 201.56 | 203.92 | 206.29 | 208.70 | 211.12 | 213.54 | 215.96 | 218.40 | 220.86 | 223.33 | 225.78 | 228.23 | 230.68 | 233.14 | 235.60 | 238.06 |
| 5-9 | 139.25 | 87.72 | 65.74 | 65.63 | 113.75 | 119.45 | 122.71 | 131.52 | 136.93 | 141.35 | 145.49 | 147.14 | 149.83 | 151.47 | 153.45 | 155.40 | 157.33 | 159.25 | 161.16 | 163.08 | 165.00 | 166.94 | 168.88 | 170.83 | 172.79 | 174.76 | 176.75 | 178.74 | 180.73 | 182.72 | 184.71 | 186.71 | 188.70 | 190.70 |
| 10-14 | 102.59 | 68.75 | 48.26 | 50.77 | 102.31 | 101.96 | 100.93 | 99.55 | 101.45 | 101.89 | 104.16 | 106.43 | 109.85 | 113.37 | 116.48 | 119.05 | 120.17 | 121.82 | 123.47 | 125.00 | 126.52 | 128.04 | 129.56 | 131.08 | 132.60 | 134.14 | 135.68 | 137.22 | 138.77 | 140.32 | 141.88 | 143.44 | 145.00 | 146.56 |
| 15-19 | 71.37 | 59.38 | 46.15 | 52.46 | 108.37 | 100.22 | 103.92 | 103.99 | 104.28 | 104.38 | 104.43 | 104.30 | 105.20 | 106.48 | 107.39 | 109.22 | 111.51 | 114.05 | 116.06 | 118.11 | 120.08 | 121.46 | 122.99 | 124.47 | 125.94 | 127.41 | 128.89 | 130.37 | 131.85 | 133.33 | 134.82 | 136.30 | 137.79 | 139.29 |
| 20-24 | 345.17 | 195.78 | 153.20 | 177.78 | 354.42 | 348.62 | 344.72 | 347.51 | 343.65 | 344.87 | 346.96 | 355.37 | 361.78 | 364.48 | 370.63 | 374.54 | 380.25 | 383.18 | 388.52 | 392.82 | 398.24 | 403.54 | 409.02 | 414.61 | 419.76 | 425.35 | 430.00 | 434.82 | 439.78 | 444.61 | 449.43 | 454.27 | 459.11 | 463.95 |
| 25-29 | 591.84 | 358.47 | 300.48 | 364.68 | 791.40 | 709.48 | 660.79 | 651.68 | 660.08 | 667.28 | 674.71 | 680.38 | 688.09 | 697.65 | 706.07 | 715.74 | 724.65 | 733.38 | 741.35 | 750.22 | 758.81 | 767.98 | 776.74 | 785.43 | 794.41 | 803.42 | 812.90 | 821.95 | 830.87 | 839.83 | 848.78 | 857.76 | 866.73 | 875.70 |
| 30-34 | 489.95 | 273.85 | 205.75 | 220.87 | 451.49 | 489.52 | 497.50 | 511.12 | 515.22 | 517.16 | 520.44 | 525.67 | 531.48 | 537.85 | 544.43 | 551.23 | 557.95 | 564.52 | 571.11 | 577.74 | 584.45 | 591.27 | 598.12 | 604.92 | 611.76 | 618.65 | 625.62 | 632.57 | 639.50 | 646.40 | 653.31 | 660.23 | 667.16 | 674.09 |
| 35-39 | 405.31 | 249.84 | 184.55 | 193.79 | 394.18 | 406.28 | 427.37 | 439.52 | 451.72 | 462.88 | 473.60 | 480.51 | 487.63 | 493.23 | 498.59 | 504.32 | 510.35 | 516.35 | 522.43 | 528.56 | 534.74 | 540.99 | 547.28 | 553.55 | 559.85 | 566.19 | 572.59 | 579.00 | 585.39 | 591.78 | 598.16 | 604.56 | 610.97 | 617.37 |
| 40-44 | 202.15 | 157.83 | 124.73 | 133.99 | 257.93 | 248.58 | 246.77 | 246.71 | 255.10 | 262.74 | 267.25 | 273.39 | 277.74 | 282.12 | 286.78 | 291.18 | 295.06 | 298.80 | 302.33 | 305.80 | 309.32 | 312.92 | 316.57 | 320.22 | 323.90 | 327.60 | 331.32 | 335.06 | 338.79 | 342.53 | 346.27 | 350.02 | 353.77 | 357.52 |
| 45-49 | 126.88 | 89.41 | 69.07 | 71.25 | 141.99 | 151.08 | 156.35 | 157.95 | 157.59 | 154.98 | 152.75 | 153.22 | 154.26 | 156.93 | 160.04 | 162.43 | 165.12 | 167.47 | 169.70 | 171.96 | 174.28 | 176.41 | 178.57 | 180.64 | 182.70 | 184.78 | 186.89 | 189.01 | 191.14 | 193.26 | 195.40 | 197.53 | 199.67 | 201.81 |
| 50-54 | 98.90 | 62.75 | 43.30 | 48.96 | 90.49 | 94.19 | 89.53 | 90.73 | 91.11 | 93.45 | 96.11 | 98.70 | 99.84 | 100.16 | 100.27 | 100.23 | 101.34 | 102.28 | 103.72 | 105.15 | 106.45 | 107.92 | 109.34 | 110.69 | 112.03 | 113.40 | 114.71 | 116.05 | 117.37 | 118.67 | 119.98 | 121.29 | 122.61 | 123.93 |
| 55-59 | 91.62 | 34.13 | 31.74 | 23.57 | 45.01 | 41.70 | 43.90 | 44.18 | 43.71 | 44.63 | 45.05 | 43.57 | 44.01 | 45.14 | 45.86 | 46.88 | 47.35 | 47.59 | 47.98 | 48.25 | 48.57 | 49.09 | 49.57 | 50.21 | 50.86 | 51.45 | 52.08 | 52.72 | 53.33 | 53.95 | 54.56 | 55.17 | 55.77 | 56.38 |
| 60-64 | 104.43 | 54.98 | 43.25 | 47.11 | 83.50 | 87.25 | 84.93 | 83.32 | 90.05 | 89.68 | 92.34 | 94.91 | 96.85 | 99.26 | 102.24 | 103.05 | 102.29 | 104.29 | 105.46 | 107.82 | 110.37 | 111.77 | 112.83 | 113.88 | 114.49 | 115.76 | 117.05 | 118.45 | 119.94 | 121.42 | 122.84 | 124.31 | 125.72 | 127.15 |
| 65-69 | 92.81 | 57.93 | 43.91 | 52.06 | 77.28 | 74.56 | 77.47 | 70.38 | 69.10 | 69.18 | 67.90 | 69.36 | 68.81 | 68.56 | 70.29 | 70.83 | 70.95 | 72.96 | 73.73 | 74.81 | 75.65 | 75.99 | 76.35 | 77.30 | 78.78 | 80.01 | 81.18 | 81.86 | 82.62 | 83.36 | 84.18 | 85.07 | 86.00 | 86.96 |
| 70-74 | 55.78 | 28.65 | 23.11 | 31.50 | 47.83 | 49.16 | 50.62 | 49.56 | 47.02 | 46.85 | 46.59 | 45.02 | 45.03 | 47.36 | 46.47 | 46.28 | 46.78 | 46.95 | 48.02 | 49.48 | 50.32 | 51.67 | 53.01 | 53.75 | 55.01 | 55.85 | 56.18 | 57.00 | 57.69 | 58.47 | 59.43 | 60.37 | 61.04 | 61.72 |
| 75-79 | 33.16 | 26.41 | 18.65 | 20.19 | 39.03 | 39.81 | 37.02 | 35.77 | 35.65 | 35.63 | 36.50 | 37.18 | 36.33 | 34.24 | 33.77 | 33.99 | 33.41 | 33.33 | 34.32 | 34.00 | 34.25 | 34.35 | 34.39 | 35.37 | 36.10 | 36.84 | 37.56 | 38.14 | 38.73 | 39.46 | 40.03 | 40.27 | 40.73 | 41.16 |
| 80-84 | 15.81 | 23.16 | 11.45 | 12.92 | 23.08 | 20.50 | 21.60 | 23.09 | 23.85 | 24.93 | 25.63 | 25.52 | 25.51 | 25.78 | 25.40 | 24.73 | 24.58 | 24.90 | 24.48 | 24.00 | 23.80 | 24.12 | 24.32 | 24.60 | 24.65 | 25.21 | 25.35 | 25.59 | 25.51 | 25.83 | 26.38 | 26.90 | 27.49 | 27.73 |
| 85+ | 33.56 | 22.24 | 14.14 | 21.06 | 27.91 | 30.73 | 32.54 | 34.74 | 36.52 | 37.01 | 37.84 | 39.64 | 41.28 | 42.72 | 44.20 | 45.11 | 45.65 | 46.20 | 46.92 | 47.66 | 48.56 | 49.22 | 49.67 | 49.99 | 50.71 | 51.35 | 51.80 | 52.33 | 53.13 | 53.52 | 54.13 | 54.63 | 55.13 | 55.97 |
| Total | 3203.16 | 1977.73 | 1519.59 | 1673.75 | 3310.29 | 3283.41 | 3269.72 | 3296.04 | 3340.83 | 3379.30 | 3420.55 | 3465.42 | 3510.99 | 3556.60 | 3604.51 | 3648.76 | 3691.64 | 3736.52 | 3782.32 | 3828.39 | 3875.70 | 3922.39 | 3968.30 | 4015.08 | 4062.29 | 4110.54 | 4157.43 | 4204.20 | 4250.90 | 4297.70 | 4344.96 | 4391.98 | 4439.01 | 4486.06 |