Out-migration is the number of people who move out of the area each year. It covers moves abroad and moves to other parts of the country. This page shows total out-migration over time and a breakdown by age and sex.
Estimated figures come from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Projected out-migration is initially driven by out-migration rates from the jump-off year. Migration balancing is then applied to align all components with the total population.
Out-migration is one of the four components of population change. Along with deaths, it takes people away from the area. The gap between in-migration and out-migration is net migration. This is often the biggest driver of local growth or decline.
| Age Group | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | 2051 | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 207.38 | 165.98 | 133.49 | 123.45 | 173.37 | 178.69 | 186.28 | 187.32 | 190.17 | 190.33 | 190.36 | 190.43 | 190.90 | 191.56 | 192.18 | 192.76 | 193.27 | 193.82 | 194.43 | 195.08 | 195.77 | 196.49 | 197.24 | 197.99 | 198.78 | 199.61 | 200.48 | 201.36 | 202.25 | 203.15 | 204.06 | 204.98 | 205.89 | 206.81 |
| 5-9 | 296.56 | 216.08 | 169.09 | 158.20 | 267.71 | 257.31 | 247.86 | 248.22 | 248.31 | 253.65 | 256.96 | 258.78 | 261.50 | 263.85 | 264.44 | 265.05 | 265.66 | 266.44 | 267.29 | 268.18 | 269.07 | 269.96 | 270.90 | 271.88 | 272.93 | 274.03 | 275.19 | 276.37 | 277.58 | 278.83 | 280.09 | 281.39 | 282.68 | 283.98 |
| 10-14 | 232.30 | 199.88 | 165.06 | 151.22 | 243.12 | 247.85 | 240.95 | 242.95 | 235.20 | 233.01 | 235.44 | 234.72 | 237.54 | 234.48 | 238.85 | 239.82 | 241.66 | 242.62 | 243.88 | 244.67 | 245.49 | 246.35 | 247.27 | 248.18 | 249.18 | 250.22 | 251.31 | 252.43 | 253.59 | 254.79 | 256.00 | 257.25 | 258.50 | 259.77 |
| 15-19 | 147.67 | 169.54 | 134.63 | 138.84 | 228.86 | 222.24 | 219.75 | 221.16 | 224.37 | 222.40 | 219.54 | 224.72 | 228.50 | 223.72 | 221.18 | 220.78 | 220.12 | 220.09 | 218.68 | 221.40 | 222.36 | 224.11 | 225.60 | 227.69 | 228.54 | 229.37 | 230.25 | 231.18 | 232.18 | 233.24 | 234.31 | 235.41 | 236.53 | 237.68 |
| 20-24 | 568.92 | 433.32 | 369.53 | 367.00 | 681.56 | 625.79 | 601.33 | 606.39 | 602.32 | 613.91 | 609.49 | 608.59 | 605.45 | 612.69 | 611.47 | 607.21 | 610.53 | 610.59 | 610.75 | 607.57 | 608.65 | 609.40 | 611.89 | 615.06 | 619.46 | 623.27 | 626.62 | 629.92 | 633.10 | 635.93 | 638.79 | 641.79 | 644.82 | 647.90 |
| 25-29 | 572.90 | 457.74 | 374.92 | 420.38 | 778.63 | 705.02 | 645.17 | 629.16 | 611.85 | 604.19 | 603.63 | 606.06 | 607.46 | 610.97 | 612.60 | 615.57 | 616.81 | 618.87 | 622.36 | 623.21 | 624.85 | 627.19 | 629.40 | 631.99 | 634.43 | 637.72 | 640.95 | 644.25 | 647.17 | 650.51 | 653.64 | 656.95 | 660.20 | 663.44 |
| 30-34 | 486.12 | 389.32 | 293.03 | 285.60 | 513.99 | 540.76 | 548.96 | 542.95 | 534.40 | 526.63 | 522.52 | 520.29 | 521.05 | 522.16 | 523.79 | 525.65 | 528.03 | 530.07 | 532.20 | 534.62 | 537.07 | 539.07 | 541.42 | 543.92 | 546.37 | 549.16 | 551.96 | 554.72 | 557.53 | 560.35 | 563.25 | 566.12 | 568.93 | 571.68 |
| 35-39 | 345.29 | 274.00 | 205.97 | 197.50 | 353.20 | 363.28 | 369.16 | 368.54 | 375.77 | 382.02 | 384.52 | 384.71 | 385.03 | 385.13 | 385.34 | 385.88 | 386.89 | 388.38 | 389.80 | 391.33 | 392.84 | 394.51 | 396.10 | 397.70 | 399.50 | 401.31 | 403.11 | 404.98 | 406.88 | 408.75 | 410.67 | 412.62 | 414.52 | 416.47 |
| 40-44 | 320.98 | 247.61 | 207.65 | 196.21 | 332.31 | 338.70 | 327.20 | 334.91 | 343.64 | 349.86 | 350.45 | 352.50 | 352.46 | 354.73 | 356.84 | 359.24 | 360.61 | 361.39 | 362.16 | 363.20 | 364.30 | 365.58 | 366.94 | 368.36 | 369.84 | 371.38 | 373.03 | 374.68 | 376.39 | 378.14 | 379.91 | 381.70 | 383.48 | 385.29 |
| 45-49 | 255.10 | 215.39 | 175.97 | 156.64 | 261.29 | 258.64 | 260.23 | 266.79 | 271.93 | 276.56 | 272.26 | 277.58 | 279.13 | 278.22 | 279.55 | 282.77 | 284.26 | 285.06 | 286.30 | 287.63 | 289.18 | 290.40 | 291.48 | 292.37 | 293.37 | 294.54 | 295.75 | 297.06 | 298.40 | 299.79 | 301.19 | 302.63 | 304.08 | 305.55 |
| 50-54 | 143.10 | 142.00 | 109.40 | 106.41 | 156.23 | 147.76 | 150.96 | 156.50 | 156.82 | 154.05 | 151.86 | 152.06 | 156.48 | 157.65 | 158.04 | 158.66 | 158.54 | 159.77 | 159.72 | 160.98 | 161.81 | 162.52 | 163.04 | 163.45 | 164.30 | 165.12 | 165.74 | 166.36 | 166.96 | 167.62 | 168.34 | 169.07 | 169.82 | 170.58 |
| 55-59 | 102.68 | 150.26 | 95.62 | 96.15 | 131.62 | 139.24 | 141.96 | 142.82 | 142.73 | 144.12 | 145.41 | 148.42 | 147.13 | 146.36 | 146.12 | 143.97 | 146.22 | 148.10 | 150.67 | 152.02 | 152.79 | 153.53 | 153.08 | 153.89 | 154.67 | 155.36 | 156.40 | 157.24 | 157.90 | 158.49 | 159.24 | 160.05 | 160.84 | 161.56 |
| 60-64 | 97.63 | 117.69 | 98.22 | 79.55 | 115.91 | 114.08 | 111.91 | 112.38 | 115.17 | 117.95 | 125.46 | 127.74 | 132.11 | 133.97 | 137.32 | 136.61 | 134.93 | 137.45 | 136.23 | 137.09 | 135.79 | 137.16 | 137.71 | 138.46 | 139.48 | 138.90 | 139.13 | 139.40 | 140.43 | 140.76 | 141.76 | 142.46 | 142.93 | 143.44 |
| 65-69 | 89.02 | 82.89 | 69.91 | 70.91 | 98.05 | 101.68 | 96.42 | 97.64 | 99.32 | 97.49 | 99.82 | 98.39 | 98.01 | 101.11 | 99.97 | 104.32 | 106.68 | 106.60 | 108.71 | 109.29 | 109.00 | 108.88 | 109.40 | 109.81 | 109.29 | 110.74 | 110.23 | 111.07 | 111.08 | 111.32 | 112.14 | 112.06 | 112.76 | 113.42 |
| 70-74 | 29.04 | 52.92 | 42.30 | 42.50 | 57.80 | 58.53 | 61.43 | 60.99 | 59.25 | 62.14 | 61.76 | 60.42 | 62.85 | 62.10 | 63.08 | 63.08 | 63.25 | 62.60 | 64.80 | 65.16 | 67.08 | 67.82 | 68.09 | 69.10 | 70.37 | 69.71 | 70.05 | 70.48 | 70.15 | 70.45 | 70.13 | 70.37 | 70.74 | 71.30 |
| 75-79 | 56.28 | 58.88 | 50.89 | 52.02 | 74.96 | 77.26 | 74.88 | 76.41 | 79.71 | 77.55 | 80.42 | 83.37 | 80.93 | 83.65 | 86.76 | 84.81 | 85.50 | 87.44 | 88.33 | 89.88 | 90.84 | 90.72 | 90.68 | 92.41 | 93.95 | 96.33 | 97.86 | 98.04 | 99.13 | 99.17 | 99.58 | 100.42 | 100.38 | 100.18 |
| 80-84 | 23.93 | 37.07 | 25.96 | 33.68 | 29.93 | 30.74 | 32.88 | 31.82 | 31.99 | 34.51 | 33.98 | 33.68 | 34.81 | 34.30 | 33.54 | 35.88 | 36.08 | 35.88 | 36.32 | 36.66 | 36.96 | 37.55 | 38.82 | 38.25 | 38.78 | 38.73 | 38.71 | 39.36 | 40.15 | 41.13 | 42.54 | 42.02 | 42.40 | 43.45 |
| 85+ | 19.37 | 55.17 | 51.93 | 45.99 | 26.17 | 26.58 | 26.39 | 26.96 | 27.16 | 26.72 | 26.78 | 27.12 | 27.40 | 27.58 | 27.95 | 28.01 | 28.22 | 28.50 | 28.79 | 29.15 | 29.44 | 30.04 | 30.57 | 31.16 | 31.46 | 31.70 | 32.09 | 32.61 | 32.99 | 33.37 | 33.85 | 34.33 | 35.02 | 35.47 |
| Total | 3994.26 | 3465.74 | 2773.58 | 2722.24 | 4524.69 | 4434.15 | 4343.73 | 4353.92 | 4350.10 | 4367.08 | 4370.67 | 4389.58 | 4408.73 | 4424.21 | 4439.01 | 4450.09 | 4467.26 | 4483.67 | 4501.42 | 4517.14 | 4533.30 | 4551.28 | 4569.61 | 4591.69 | 4614.69 | 4637.21 | 4658.86 | 4681.51 | 4703.86 | 4725.77 | 4749.47 | 4771.62 | 4794.53 | 4817.95 |